Trumppicker

Mentions 46% +$829 $12,958 vol · 155 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$73	win
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?	Yes	43¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?	Yes	56¢	0¢	+$29	win

Geopolitics 47% +$237 $3,507 vol · 33 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Matt Pinnell replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?	No	91¢	100¢	+$6	win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	83¢	78¢	$-21	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	5¢	1¢	$-10	loss
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by April 30?	No	67¢	70¢	+$10	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	77¢	54¢	$-62	loss
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?	No	81¢	100¢	+$43	win
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	Yes	81¢	84¢	$-20	loss
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-35	loss
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?	No	74¢	100¢	+$51	win
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?	Yes	31¢	100¢	+$49	win

Finance 100% +$107 $50 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?	Yes	32¢	100¢	+$107	win

Crypto 0% $-8 $30 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Melania say "Challenge" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?	Yes	76¢	0¢	$-8	loss

Elections 70% $-54 $694 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	6¢	1¢	$-81	loss
Will Trump say "Election" or "November 5th" at the Congressional Ball on December 11?	No	80¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	34¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Will Shayne say "Election" 3+ times during 60 Minutes?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	No	83¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$2	win

Politics 59% $-69 $4,721 vol · 94 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?	No	58¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Trump say "Cheat" or "Cheater" or "Cheated" or "Cheating" 10+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?	No	42¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Kentucky visit?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Trump say "Minnesota" during the State of the Union address?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	73¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will Leavitt say "Epstein" during the next White House press briefing?	No	69¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Leavitt say "Our Nation's Capital" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	79¢	0¢	$-109	loss
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?	Yes	49¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$5	win

Other 42% $-314 $2,098 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	40¢	16¢	$-7	loss
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-74	loss
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	14¢	100¢	+$13	win
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	29¢	4¢	$-13	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	77¢	46¢	$-75	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	58¢	55¢	$-6	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	30¢	1¢	$-15	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-7	loss
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?	No	34¢	0¢	$-25	loss