Win rate
63.6%
42 W / 24 L
Total PnL
$2,206
realized $808 · unrealized $1,398
Portfolio
$1,398
volume $465,860
Predictions
76
1.6/day · avg $6,130
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 68% +$4,599
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 80¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 68¢ | 50¢ | $-138 | loss |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Solana reach $260 before 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
Other 85% +$712
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026? | No | 55¢ | 12¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 82¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$221 | win |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$265 | win |
| Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Economy 100% +$33
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Sports 100% +$24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
Tech 100% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
Politics 60% $-72
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$14 | win |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 85¢ | 84¢ | +$5 | win |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 16¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 77¢ | 84¢ | $-85 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | No | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$31 | win |
Geopolitics 44% $-3,096
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 12¢ | 16¢ | +$22 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 57¢ | 70¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 89¢ | 82¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 46¢ | 84¢ | +$515 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 55¢ | 94¢ | +$65 | win |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-1,083 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | No | 71¢ | 36¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | No | 93¢ | 56¢ | $-229 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 64¢ | 43¢ | $-47 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 73.1¢ | 0¢ | $-239 | $264 | 15/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 89.6¢ | 100¢ | +$247 | $2,834 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | No | 87.4¢ | 100¢ | +$200 | $1,391 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 76.7¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $181 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $214 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $1,134 | 08/02/2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $1,504 | 28/01/2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $783 | 28/01/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 77.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4,138 | $62,684 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$221 | $13,262 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $4,570 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $3,123 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $377 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$267 | $26,842 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | Yes | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$265 | $16,245 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$158 | $16,300 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $6,717 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $9,456 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Solana reach $260 before 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $3,948 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $4,096 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $1,986 | 31/12/2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $1,445 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $918 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $274 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31? | No | 79.4¢ | 0¢ | $-774 | $1,735 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 75.0¢ | 64¢ | $-3 | $22 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $5,034 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $3,258 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $457 | 01/01/1970 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $387 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 56.5¢ | 0¢ | $-476 | $486 | 01/01/1970 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | No | 93.0¢ | 56¢ | $-229 | $569 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 41.0¢ | 56¢ | +$61 | $161 | 30/04/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 64.1¢ | 43¢ | $-47 | $145 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 15? | No | 39.9¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | $106 | 15/05/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 24.8¢ | 27¢ | +$12 | $134 | 31/05/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | No | 71.0¢ | 36¢ | $-51 | $104 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $394 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $393 | 31/05/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | No | 44.3¢ | 0¢ | $-904 | $939 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 55.2¢ | 94¢ | +$65 | $103 | 30/06/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | No | 14.0¢ | 16¢ | +$31 | $66 | 30/06/2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 96.2¢ | 98¢ | +$9 | $962 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | No | 96.1¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | $174 | 30/06/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | $72 | 30/06/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | 39.6¢ | 0¢ | $-1,083 | $1,117 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 46.5¢ | 84¢ | +$515 | $895 | 31/12/2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 88.0¢ | 90¢ | +$14 | $1,203 | 31/12/2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 84.9¢ | 84¢ | +$5 | $1,019 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 91.0¢ | 82¢ | $-4 | $364 | 31/12/2026 |