Niseko

Elections 85% +$20,363 $177,819 vol · 26 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	32¢	0¢	+$14,481	win
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?	No	89¢	100¢	+$2,033	win
Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-85	loss
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?	No	11¢	0¢	$-2,479	loss
Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$986	win
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?	No	96¢	100¢	+$91	win
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?	No	93¢	100¢	+$190	win
Will Kim Moon-soo win less than 20% of the vote in the South Korea election?	No	98¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?	No	34¢	100¢	+$92	win
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Other 75% +$7,910 $94,660 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	80¢	56¢	$-318	loss
TikTok sale announced in 2025?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$2,823	win
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?	No	5¢	0¢	+$537	win
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?	No	88¢	100¢	+$240	win
Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025?	No	82¢	100¢	+$196	win
Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?	No	90¢	100¢	+$91	win
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?	No	89¢	100¢	+$62	win
Will South Korea move its capital to Sejong in 2025?	No	92¢	100¢	+$59	win
US forces in Yemen in 2025?	No	92¢	100¢	+$51	win
Pepe ETF in 2025?	No	90¢	100¢	+$31	win

Sports 45% +$1,374 $47,042 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	29¢	46¢	+$562	win
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?	No	90¢	100¢	+$47	win
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-1,699	loss
Will Coinbase acquire Circle before September?	No	95¢	100¢	+$50	win
Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-0?	No	91¢	100¢	+$379	win
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?	No	81¢	100¢	+$2,111	win
NBA Finals: Will any player score 40+ points?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$7	win
Thunder vs. Pacers	Thunder	50¢	0¢	$-1,104	loss
Panthers vs. Oilers	Oilers	55¢	0¢	$-249	loss
Pacers vs. Thunder	Thunder	60¢	0¢	$-756	loss

Economy 100% +$300 $1,700 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$300	win

Finance 50% $-104 $1,570 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Kraken IPO in 2025?	No	92¢	100¢	+$15	win
Circle IPO in 2025?	No	2¢	0¢	$-119	loss

Geopolitics 65% $-4,986 $167,774 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Israel strike 1 country in 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$142	win
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	75¢	80¢	+$523	win
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	66¢	76¢	+$553	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	83¢	98¢	+$3,680	win
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	54¢	24¢	$-181	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	84¢	8¢	$-1,730	loss
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	65¢	47¢	$-507	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?	No	92¢	100¢	+$160	win
North Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?	No	92¢	100¢	+$32	win
China x India military clash by June 30?	No	94¢	100¢	+$30	win

Crypto 67% $-7,949 $1,868,596 vol · 880 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will February be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	150k	64¢	0¢	$-1,283	loss
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?	No	76¢	80¢	+$29	win
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	84¢	30¢	$-89	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 18?	Down	51¢	38¢	$-250	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17?	Down	50¢	0¢	$-500	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16?	Down	50¢	0¢	$-242	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15?	Down	50¢	100¢	+$1,002	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?	Up	43¢	100¢	+$31	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?	Down	50¢	0¢	$-500	loss

Politics 84% $-12,071 $267,230 vol · 62 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	83¢	84¢	+$85	win
Trump out as President by June 30?	No	92¢	94¢	+$22	win
Will Trump Media buy Solana in 2025?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-125	loss
Will Trump Media buy Ethereum in 2025?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-324	loss
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?	Yes	57¢	100¢	+$6,848	win
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?	No	86¢	100¢	+$1,057	win
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?	No	90¢	100¢	+$150	win
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?	No	91¢	100¢	+$72	win
Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	+$67	win
Trump announce run for 3rd term?	No	94¢	100¢	+$55	win