Win rate
51.6%
82 W / 77 L
Total PnL
$487
realized $-862 · unrealized $1,349
Portfolio
$1,349
volume $573,980
Predictions
500
1.7/day · avg $1,148
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/01/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 44% +$630
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | 87¢ | 52¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 2¢ | 12¢ | +$706 | win |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$44 | win |
| Will Tottenham finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Australian Open? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | loss |
| Brisbane International: Nick Kyrgios vs Aleksandar Kovacevic | Kovacevic | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 73% +$221
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? | No | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | No | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine? | No | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Assad leaves Russia before 2026? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US military action against Iran before July? | Yes | 24¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? | No | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| US lifts Russia sanctions before April? | No | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Will the U.S. military implement transgender ban? | No | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
Politics 74% +$164
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first? | Zelenskyy | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025? | No | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? | No | 71¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025? | No | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | loss |
| Will Trump meet Pope Leo XIV before August? | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
Culture 50% +$75
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 26¢ | +$126 | win |
| Will 'Not Like Us' win Song of the Year? | No | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Elections 60% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 54¢ | 55¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? | Yes | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | 78¢ | 90¢ | +$26 | win |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | No | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Ukraine election called in 2025? | No | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Crypto 100% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US national Ethereum reserve in 2025? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Tech 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Economy 33% $-86
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession in 2025? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | +$22 | win |
| 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025? | No | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
Sports 30% $-231
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| UFC 324: Johnson vs. Hernandez (Lightweight, Prelims) | Hernandez | 56¢ | 50¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Rakic vs. Murzakanov | Rakic | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Allen vs. de Ridder | Allen | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva | Silva | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho | Borralho | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev | Chimaev | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Alex de Minaur win Wimbledon 2025? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Yes | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $30 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | 78.0¢ | 90¢ | +$26 | $157 | 24/03/2026 |
| US recession in 2025? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | +$22 | $33 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 28.6¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open? | Yes | 38.1¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Australian Open? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | $121 | 01/02/2026 |
| UFC 324: Johnson vs. Hernandez (Lightweight, Prelims) | Hernandez | 56.0¢ | 50¢ | $-2 | $22 | 25/01/2026 |
| Brisbane International: Nick Kyrgios vs Aleksandar Kovacevic | Kovacevic | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $35 | 11/01/2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? | No | 37.6¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | $188 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first? | Zelenskyy | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $80 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Peter Turkson be the next pope? | Yes | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | +$29 | $30 | 31/12/2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | No | 43.1¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $30 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $146 | 31/12/2025 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | No | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $28 | 31/12/2025 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | No | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $42 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025? | No | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $46 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025? | No | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $34 | 31/12/2025 |
| US national Ethereum reserve in 2025? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $35 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025? | No | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $33 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting? | No | 74.4¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $65 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025? | No | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $27 | 31/12/2025 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine? | No | 60.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $78 | 31/12/2025 |
| Zelensky resigns in 2025? | No | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $31 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $40 | 31/12/2025 |
| Jay-Z & Beyoncé divorce in 2025? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $32 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? | No | 71.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $21 | 31/12/2025 |
| GTA VI released in 2025? | Yes | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $54 | 31/12/2025 |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025? | No | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $37 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $60 | 31/12/2025 |
| Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 31/12/2025 |
| Ukraine election called in 2025? | No | 34.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $68 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $32 | 31/12/2025 |
| Netanyahu out by 2025? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $39 | 31/12/2025 |
| Assad leaves Russia before 2026? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $64 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025? | Yes | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $24 | 31/12/2025 |
| US government shutdown in 2025? | No | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $28 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025? | Yes | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $20 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $38 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the next Pope be from Africa? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 31/12/2025 |
| Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025? | No | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $61 | 31/12/2025 |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Fokina | 42.5¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $26 | 01/11/2025 |
| Rakic vs. Murzakanov | Rakic | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 01/11/2025 |
| Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | No | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $20 | 31/10/2025 |
| 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 30/10/2025 |
| Allen vs. de Ridder | Allen | 35.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $21 | 25/10/2025 |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Ugo Humbert vs Lorenzo Sonego | Humbert | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $47 | 24/10/2025 |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot | Vacherot | 29.7¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | $46 | 18/10/2025 |
| Will Holger Rune win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 12/10/2025 |