Win rate
52.1%
1065 W / 979 L
Total PnL
$49,323
realized $44,149 · unrealized $5,174
Portfolio
$5,174
volume $17,674,624
Predictions
1,317
37.6/day · avg $13,420
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 03/07/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 53% +$45,253
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Terence Atmane | Terence Atmane | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-330 | loss |
| Barcelona Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 14¢ | 0¢ | +$276 | win |
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Fiona Ferro vs Sorana Cirstea | Fiona Ferro | 31¢ | 0¢ | +$1,664 | win |
| Barcelona Open: Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublev | Mariano Navone | 18¢ | 0¢ | +$872 | win |
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Fiona Ferro vs Sorana Cirstea | Sorana Cirstea | 69¢ | 100¢ | $-903 | loss |
| Barcelona Open: Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublev | Andrey Rublev | 79¢ | 100¢ | $-928 | loss |
| BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | Fabian Marozsan | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$1,480 | win |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$316 | win |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw? | No | 80¢ | 74¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 30¢ | 26¢ | +$74 | win |
Sports 49% +$21,170
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 4¢ | 0¢ | +$703 | win |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-1,745 | loss |
| New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs | New York Mets | 17¢ | 8¢ | +$389 | win |
| New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | New York Mets | 8¢ | 0¢ | +$4,914 | win |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 10¢ | 0¢ | +$2,698 | win |
| Texas Rangers vs. Athletics | Athletics | 4¢ | 0¢ | +$1,865 | win |
| Texas Rangers vs. Athletics | Texas Rangers | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$1,648 | win |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$1,519 | win |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Baltimore Orioles | 14¢ | 0¢ | +$1,322 | win |
| Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 34¢ | 0¢ | +$779 | win |
Economy 62% +$11,160
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-189 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-320 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-470 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-2,171 | loss |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | $-1,453 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1,400 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-3,671 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-2,277 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? | Yes | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$15,587 | win |
Elections 83% +$7,521
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-470 | loss |
| Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | win |
| GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$1,391 | win |
| Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election? | No | 22¢ | 100¢ | +$125 | win |
| Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | +$1,790 | win |
| Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$2,050 | win |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1,456 | win |
| Trump wins every swing state? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$1,200 | win |
| U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes? | No | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$1,146 | win |
| Will 538 correctly call the Presidential Election? | No | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$229 | win |
Crypto 75% +$7,381
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinn | Ethan Quinn | 9¢ | 0¢ | +$1,373 | win |
| Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinn | Cameron Norrie | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-799 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2000 by February 28 2025? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will $Fartcoin hit $1b FDV in 2024? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$828 | win |
| Bitcoin new all time high in 2024? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-696 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$5,359 | win |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | No | 74¢ | 0¢ | +$517 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$127 | win |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Tuesday? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-281 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 before September? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$164 | win |
Culture 80% +$3,444
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series? | Yes | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-460 | loss |
| Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year? | Yes | 15¢ | 100¢ | +$1,723 | win |
| Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year? | No | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$1,050 | win |
| Will 'The Tortured Poets Department' win Album of the Year? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$1,021 | win |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter win Best New Artist? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | +$110 | win |
Finance 50% +$293
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Anna Bondar | Anastasia Zakharova | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-23 | loss |
| BNP Paribas Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anna Bondar | Anna Bondar | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-283 | loss |
| BNP Paribas Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anna Bondar | Elsa Jacquemot | 20¢ | 0¢ | +$278 | win |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025? | No | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$320 | win |
Weather 52% $-691
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks | Kansas Jayhawks | 33¢ | 0¢ | +$2,396 | win |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks | St. Johns Red Storm | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-1,161 | loss |
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers | Miami Hurricanes | 3¢ | 0¢ | +$1,630 | win |
| Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes | Missouri Tigers | 13¢ | 0¢ | +$939 | win |
| Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes | Miami Hurricanes | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-919 | loss |
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 54¢ | 0¢ | +$103 | win |
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 50¢ | 100¢ | $-164 | loss |
| Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanes | Miami Hurricanes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$727 | win |
| Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanes | Virginia Tech Hokies | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-772 | loss |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in January 2025? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
Esports 33% $-930
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | GIANTX | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$846 | win |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | B8 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | loss |
| Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | BBL Esports | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-1,167 | loss |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Heroic | 16¢ | 0¢ | +$176 | win |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Team Spirit | 83¢ | 100¢ | $-142 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | Legacy | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs | Oxuji Esports | 78¢ | 100¢ | $-93 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | Aurora Gaming | 81¢ | 100¢ | $-500 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs | Phantom | 21¢ | 0¢ | +$61 | win |
Geopolitics 46% $-2,052
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Maple Leafs | 11¢ | 0¢ | +$579 | win |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Senators | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-645 | loss |
| Senators vs. Devils | Devils | 62¢ | 100¢ | $-83 | loss |
| Senators vs. Devils | Senators | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-259 | loss |
| Senators vs. Islanders | Islanders | 12¢ | 0¢ | +$569 | win |
| Senators vs. Islanders | Senators | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-621 | loss |
| Panthers vs. Senators | Panthers | 17¢ | 0¢ | +$630 | win |
| Panthers vs. Senators | Senators | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-794 | loss |
| Lightning vs. Senators | Senators | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-532 | loss |
| Lightning vs. Senators | Lightning | 19¢ | 0¢ | +$395 | win |
Politics 60% $-5,996
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-161 | loss |
| RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$600 | win |
| Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader? | No | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$311 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | $-391 | loss |
| Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-1,615 | loss |
| Will Trump use a recess appointment for Matt Gaetz? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-624 | loss |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 4? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$400 | win |
| GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$449 | win |
| GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%? | No | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-4,434 | loss |
Mentions 62% $-22,603
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$191 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$560 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025? | Yes | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$200 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | $-273 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | +$148 | win |
| Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12? | No | 47¢ | 0¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5? | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$1,978 | win |
| Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5? | Yes | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 22–August 29? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$363 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres | Colorado Rockies | 32.5¢ | 0¢ | +$670 | $4,529 | 17/04/2026 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Washington Nationals | 44.7¢ | 100¢ | +$574 | $1,583 | 17/04/2026 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves | Cleveland Guardians | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | +$529 | $250 | 17/04/2026 |
| New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | New York Yankees | 13.8¢ | 0¢ | +$472 | $382 | 17/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Utah | Blues | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$245 | $6,123 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Kraken | 18.9¢ | 0¢ | +$217 | $171 | 17/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. New York Mets | New York Mets | 17.6¢ | 0¢ | +$185 | $432 | 17/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Oilers | Canucks | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | +$183 | $41 | 17/04/2026 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 78.7¢ | 100¢ | +$172 | $11,304 | 17/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Utah | Utah | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | +$168 | $273 | 17/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Arizona Diamondbacks | 85.7¢ | 100¢ | +$165 | $3,066 | 17/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | 19.8¢ | 0¢ | +$151 | $246 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Jets | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | +$99 | $343 | 17/04/2026 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers | Miami Marlins | 30.4¢ | 0¢ | +$85 | $252 | 17/04/2026 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Minnesota Twins | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | +$62 | $361 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Predators | 46.5¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $91 | 17/04/2026 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | Chicago White Sox | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | $211 | 17/04/2026 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | Kansas City Royals | 91.9¢ | 100¢ | $-91 | $318 | 17/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | Pittsburgh Pirates | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | $-92 | $2,187 | 17/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 15.9¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | $602 | 17/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 12.2¢ | 0¢ | $-105 | $306 | 17/04/2026 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles | Baltimore Orioles | 23.1¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | $485 | 17/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | Los Angeles Angels | 83.5¢ | 100¢ | $-125 | $1,036 | 17/04/2026 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 81.6¢ | 100¢ | $-137 | $626 | 17/04/2026 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 88.8¢ | 100¢ | $-186 | $1,920 | 17/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. New York Mets | Athletics | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | $-207 | $2,151 | 17/04/2026 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | $-207 | $2,081 | 17/04/2026 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles | San Francisco Giants | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | $-342 | $1,079 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Flames | Flames | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | $-450 | $4,103 | 17/04/2026 |
| New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 87.4¢ | 100¢ | $-523 | $2,433 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Ducks | 75.7¢ | 100¢ | $-712 | $6,506 | 17/04/2026 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | 56.5¢ | 0¢ | $-726 | $2,102 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 82.5¢ | 100¢ | +$319 | $3,795 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw? | No | 79.7¢ | 74¢ | $-31 | $478 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 32.8¢ | 28¢ | +$11 | $205 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw? | No | 57.5¢ | 55¢ | $-13 | $230 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17? | No | 69.1¢ | 74¢ | $-70 | $414 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Sharks | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | $-126 | $2,569 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 29.9¢ | 26¢ | +$74 | $180 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Predators | 20.2¢ | 0¢ | +$876 | $1,772 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 26.4¢ | 0¢ | +$316 | $725 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Flames | Kings | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | +$418 | $207 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 70.6¢ | 66¢ | $-192 | $607 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? | No | 87.4¢ | 100¢ | $-341 | $1,262 | 17/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Oilers | Oilers | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | $-187 | $417 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | $-191 | $789 | 17/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 63.9¢ | 100¢ | +$9,270 | $45,190 | 16/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkacz | Hubert Hurkacz | 21.6¢ | 0¢ | +$1,024 | $2,667 | 16/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | Liudmila Samsonova | 20.1¢ | 0¢ | +$997 | $856 | 16/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Etcheverry | Tomas Etcheverry | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | +$696 | $39 | 16/04/2026 |