Win rate
78.3%
325 W / 90 L
Total PnL
$25,915
realized $11,328 · unrealized $14,586
Portfolio
$14,586
volume $963,738
Predictions
508
4.1/day · avg $1,897
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 22/03/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Culture 80% +$16,238
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 12¢ | +$55 | win |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 30¢ | 48¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Project Hail Mary have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31? | Yes | 83¢ | 98¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m? | No | 45¢ | 73¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m? | No | 31¢ | 50¢ | +$79 | win |
| Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m? | No | 77¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 15m? | Yes | 35¢ | 84¢ | +$3,444 | win |
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m? | No | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Other 82% +$10,042
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Travis Kelce retire before next season? | Yes | 45¢ | 5¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 11, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| LeBron 10+ point streak broken this season? | Yes | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | Arizona Wildcats | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuela | Venezuela | 58¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuela | USA | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
Elections 90% +$1,043
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$190 | win |
| Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$551 | win |
| Will a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$277 | win |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$209 | win |
| Will a Democrat win California Presidential Election? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$164 | win |
| Will a Democrat win Colorado Presidential Election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | win |
| Will a Democrat win Illinois Presidential Election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | win |
| Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| Will a Democrat win Oregon Presidential Election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will a Republican win Alaska Presidential Election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
Politics 95% +$880
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | +$183 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will One Battle After Another be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Congressional term limits in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump resign in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump divorce in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Weather 100% +$105
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | win |
Economy 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 75% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 8¢ | +$12 | win |
| US national Solana reserve in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| USDT depeg in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Tether insolvent in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Fartcoin reach $3.00 before June? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
Geopolitics 50% $-135
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? | No | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-135 | loss |
Sports 66% $-2,521
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bam Adebayo win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bam Adebayo win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Devin Booker win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Miami Heat advance to the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Miami Heat advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Los Angeles Clippers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Lakers | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Spurs | 20¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 10, 2026? | No | 90.4¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $289 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 13, 2026? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $94 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 6, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $239 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 15, 2026? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $34 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 16, 2026? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $34 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 12, 2026? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 3, 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 8, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 11, 2026? | No | 94.4¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $59 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m? | No | 62.5¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $154 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | Yes | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $634 | 13/04/2026 |
| LeBron 10+ point streak broken this season? | Yes | 46.3¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $133 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$832 | $6,145 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m? | Yes | 11.9¢ | 0¢ | +$169 | $309 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m? | Yes | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | +$48 | $51 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m? | Yes | 13.9¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $149 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | +$35 | $29 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $2,935 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $1,935 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $953 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,577 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,399 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $213 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $132 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m? | Yes | 8.7¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $34 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? | Yes | 7.2¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $20 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m? | No | 10.4¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $96 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $7,019 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $1,728 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will "The Drama" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $593 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will "Hoppers" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $509 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will "A Great Awakening" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $415 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8m? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$225 | $5,689 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will "They Will Kill You" be the highest grossing movie this weekend? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $5,389 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" be the highest grossing movie this weekend? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $4,360 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m? | Yes | 23.2¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $30 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will "Hoppers" be the highest grossing movie this weekend? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $104 | 30/03/2026 |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5) | Arizona Wildcats | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $26 | 29/03/2026 |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | Arizona Wildcats | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $36 | 29/03/2026 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $86 | 28/03/2026 |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 65.6¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | $200 | 27/03/2026 |
| Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuela | Venezuela | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | $58 | 25/03/2026 |
| Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuela | USA | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 10m? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 100¢ | +$349 | $150 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | $544 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m? | No | 92.3¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $72 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11.5m? | Yes | 6.9¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m? | Yes | 17.2¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | $86 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Yes | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | $58 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | $306 | 16/03/2026 |