Win rate
80.6%
166 W / 40 L
Total PnL
$637
realized $103 · unrealized $534
Portfolio
$534
volume $94,749
Predictions
796
6.6/day · avg $119
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Weather 92% +$308
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on April 18? | No | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 18? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on April 17? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 17? | No | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 17? | No | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or higher on April 17? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on April 17? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 17? | No | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 15? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 15? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Culture 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 75% $-26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? | Yes | 83¢ | 56¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million? | No | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
Sports 0% $-54
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
Geopolitics 33% $-64
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
Crypto 60% $-1,452
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | Down | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Up | 40¢ | 0¢ | +$19 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | Down | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$330 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | Down | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | Down | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | Down | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | Up | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | Down | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on April 17? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 17? | No | 94.6¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | $47 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 17? | No | 90.0¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or higher on April 17? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on April 17? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 17? | No | 90.0¢ | 98¢ | +$3 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 15? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $37 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 15? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $47 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 14? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 14? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $47 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on April 14? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $47 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on April 14? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $48 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on April 12? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $26 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 12? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $26 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 12? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $48 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on April 12? | No | 83.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 11? | No | 93.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $66 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $36 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 11? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $37 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on April 11? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $53 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 11? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $48 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 28? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $45 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on March 28? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $45 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 27? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $24 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 27? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $96 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on March 27? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $26 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or higher on March 27? | No | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $48 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on March 27? | No | 73.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 27/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $25 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on March 26? | No | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $47 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 26? | No | 87.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 25? | No | 94.1¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $81 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on March 25? | No | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $77 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 25? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $46 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 25? | No | 95.0¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 25/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | Down | 35.9¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 25/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | +$19 | $111 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C or below on March 22? | Yes | 51.9¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $30 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 22? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $46 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 22? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $48 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C or below on March 21? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $92 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or higher on March 21? | No | 85.8¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $32 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 21? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $26 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 21? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $46 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on March 21? | No | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $47 | 21/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | Down | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $100 | 20/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$330 | $400 | 19/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | Down | 74.6¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | $473 | 19/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | Down | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | $260 | 19/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | Down | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $200 | 19/03/2026 |