Win rate
66.7%
32 W / 16 L
Total PnL
$-39
realized $-663 · unrealized $624
Portfolio
$624
volume $14,488
Predictions
450
12.6/day · avg $32
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 33% +$48
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Alycia Parks vs Eva Bennemann | Alycia Parks | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | win |
| Spread: Hawks (-8.5) | Hawks | 48¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5 | Over | 47¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5 | Over | 48¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 | Under | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Weather 85% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 18? | No | 96¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on April 18? | No | 95¢ | 76¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 17? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on April 17? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 16? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 16? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 16? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 16? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 15? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Politics 50% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 37¢ | 10¢ | $-1 | loss |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 57% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | No | 32¢ | 4¢ | $-3 | loss |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 71¢ | 70¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 68¢ | 84¢ | $-20 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 40% $-287
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? | No | 84¢ | 81¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 85¢ | 48¢ | +$1 | win |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Paula Badosa vs Lilli Tagger | Paula Badosa | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-294 | loss |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Adrian Mannarino | Zizou Bergs | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 66¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
Recent Trades (48)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 17? | No | 87.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on April 17? | No | 98.4¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on April 17? | No | 97.8¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 16? | No | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 16? | No | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 16? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 16? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 16? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 16? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 16? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 16? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 16? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 90.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 91.2¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $33 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 15? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on April 14? | No | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 14? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 14? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 14? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $45 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 14? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 14? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 14/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Paula Badosa vs Lilli Tagger | Paula Badosa | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-294 | $420 | 14/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Adrian Mannarino | Zizou Bergs | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $116 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be 76°F or higher on April 12? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 12? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 12? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 65.5¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $22 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $21 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hawks (-8.5) | Hawks | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | $480 | 10/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5 | Over | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $62 | 09/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5 | Over | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $121 | 09/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5 | Over | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $133 | 09/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 | Under | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $442 | 08/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 99.1¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $29 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 37.0¢ | 10¢ | $-1 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 18? | No | 77.3¢ | 76¢ | $-0 | $24 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 18? | No | 77.8¢ | 79¢ | +$0 | $24 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on April 18? | No | 95.5¢ | 76¢ | $-5 | $24 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 18? | No | 95.5¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | $24 | 18/04/2026 |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Alycia Parks vs Eva Bennemann | Alycia Parks | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $99 | 18/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 84¢ | $-20 | $54 | 21/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 85.0¢ | 48¢ | +$1 | $31 | 30/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 30/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $47 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? | No | 84.0¢ | 81¢ | $-1 | $21 | 12/05/2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 70.8¢ | 70¢ | $-0 | $22 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | No | 32.0¢ | 4¢ | $-3 | $128 | 30/06/2026 |