Win rate
76.8%
139 W / 42 L
Total PnL
$5,708
realized $-22,661 · unrealized $28,369
Portfolio
$28,369
volume $391,802
Predictions
191
4.9/day · avg $2,051
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 14/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 76% +$2,690
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 14¢ | 15¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Yes | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Yes | 49¢ | 56¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$361 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmez | Leylah Fernandez | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider | Elena Rybakina | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Liudmila Samsonova vs Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) | Trail Blazers | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | win |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) | Heat | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | win |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Geopolitics 69% +$1,849
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$83 | win |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$5 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$5 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
| US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31? | Yes | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | loss |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-190 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | win |
Other 81% +$454
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-113 | loss |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$94 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 84¢ | 82¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$4 | win |
| Shenzhen Leopards vs. Ningbo Rockets | Shenzhen Leopards | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Sichuan Blue Whales | Beijing Royal Fighters | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Nanjing Monkey King vs. Zhejiang Lions | Zhejiang Lions | 99¢ | 92¢ | $-15 | loss |
Culture 100% +$388
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$388 | win |
Crypto 100% +$211
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$173 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 4? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Finance 50% +$19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Oleksandra Oliynykova | Anna Bondar | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Set Handicap: Oliynykova (-1.5) vs Bondar (+1.5) | Bondar | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Set Handicap: Oliynykova (-1.5) vs Bondar (+1.5) | Oliynykova | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
Politics 80% +$12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$50 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 62¢ | 1¢ | $-119 | loss |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
Economy 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 45¢ | 44¢ | $-4 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) | Real Madrid CF | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$135 | $613 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) | Trail Blazers | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | $104 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5) | Arsenal FC | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $96 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) | FC Bayern München | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) | Heat | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | $98 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) | FC Barcelona | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $75 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) | Leeds United FC | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $85 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5) | Levante UD | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $90 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5) | Manchester United FC | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $192 | 13/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $94 | 13/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Thunder | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $69 | 13/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 82.0¢ | 0¢ | $-246 | $246 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | 76ers | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $184 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5) | FC Internazionale Milano | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $88 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) | Manchester City FC | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $90 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5) | SSC Napoli | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $93 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-12? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $96 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5) | Aston Villa FC | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5) | Crystal Palace FC | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 99¢ | +$28 | $71 | 12/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Lakers | Lakers | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $45 | 11/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Rockets | 81.0¢ | 0¢ | $-243 | $243 | 11/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Lakers | 37.0¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $37 | 10/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Hawks | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $75 | 10/04/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Celtics | Celtics | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $187 | 10/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$283 | $8,044 | 09/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Raptors | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | $200 | 09/04/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Knicks | Knicks | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | $200 | 09/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $940 | 09/04/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Suns | Suns | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $517 | 09/04/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Suns | Rockets | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$98 | $102 | 08/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Magic | Magic | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $134 | 08/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Celtics | Celtics | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $136 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bucks vs. Pistons | Pistons | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $190 | 08/04/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $156 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Wizards | Bulls | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $67 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $76 | 07/04/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Warriors | Rockets | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | $183 | 06/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Magic | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $43 | 06/04/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Thunder | Thunder | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$800 | $19,200 | 05/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Timberwolves | Hornets | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $87 | 05/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Pelicans | Magic | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $34 | 05/04/2026 |
| Pacers vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $184 | 05/04/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Rockets | Rockets | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $186 | 04/04/2026 |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) | 76ers | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 04/04/2026 |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Spurs | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 04/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. 76ers | 76ers | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | $112 | 03/04/2026 |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Spurs | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $122 | 03/04/2026 |
| Pacers vs. Hornets | Hornets | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $92 | 03/04/2026 |