Win rate
10.8%
10 W / 83 L
Total PnL
$-888
realized $-1,629 · unrealized $741
Portfolio
$741
volume $165,135
Predictions
98
2.5/day · avg $1,685
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 24? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
Elections 0% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
Politics 0% $-16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Esports 0% $-95
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs | NRG | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
Other 38% $-101
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Based FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies | Connecticut Huskies | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers | Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | win |
| Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 157.5 | Over | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers | Wisconsin Badgers | 81¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
Sports 2% $-675
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Nuggets vs. Suns | Nuggets | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Bruins vs. Sabres | Sabres | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | loss |
| Rockets vs. Bulls | Rockets | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Capitals vs. Sabres | Sabres | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Capitals vs. Flyers | Capitals | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | loss |
| Rangers vs. Flyers | Flyers | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
| Canucks vs. Blackhawks | Blackhawks | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Suns | Nuggets | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $49 | 25/03/2026 |
| Bruins vs. Sabres | Sabres | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | $73 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 24? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 24/03/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Bulls | Rockets | 77.0¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $56 | 24/03/2026 |
| UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies | Connecticut Huskies | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $43 | 22/03/2026 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers | Nebraska Cornhuskers | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $64 | 21/03/2026 |
| Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 157.5 | Over | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $65 | 20/03/2026 |
| High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers | Wisconsin Badgers | 81.0¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $80 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $75 | 18/03/2026 |
| North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns | North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $42 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16? | Yes | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,384 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,612 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-03-14? | No | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $81 | 14/03/2026 |
| Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs | NRG | 54.9¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 13/03/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Sabres | Sabres | 66.9¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $56 | 12/03/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Flyers | Capitals | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | $83 | 11/03/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinal | Stanford Cardinal | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | $90 | 10/03/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Flyers | Flyers | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $98 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? | No | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO end in a draw? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $107 | 07/03/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Blackhawks | Blackhawks | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 07/03/2026 |
| Golden Knights vs. Sabres | Golden Knights | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | $114 | 04/03/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Predators | Predators | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-105 | $105 | 02/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 98.9¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $37 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $40 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $741 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $430 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $545 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $828 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,595 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,168 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,177 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,187 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $525 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $462 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $624 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $732 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $997 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,046 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,164 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,213 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $798 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $2,253 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $435 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $447 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $477 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $496 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $557 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $588 | 20/07/2026 |