Win rate
69.2%
9 W / 4 L
Total PnL
$20,421
realized $17,810 · unrealized $2,612
Portfolio
$2,612
volume $159,624
Predictions
16
0.5/day · avg $9,976
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 15/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 73% +$19,037
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 23¢ | 22¢ | $-130 | loss |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 6¢ | +$16 | win |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 52¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 16¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 4¢ | $-81 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 14¢ | 100¢ | +$7,004 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 9¢ | 93¢ | +$799 | win |
| Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | +$94 | win |
Politics 50% +$401
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 9¢ | 21¢ | +$753 | win |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 3¢ | $-352 | loss |
Recent Trades (14)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7,004 | $1,200 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 9.3¢ | 93¢ | +$799 | $132 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $73 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 2.7¢ | 100¢ | +$11,267 | $321 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | +$94 | $757 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 9.6¢ | 4¢ | $-81 | $977 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 3¢ | $-352 | $548 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 21¢ | +$753 | $741 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 3¢ | +$39 | $86 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 82¢ | +$27 | $296 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 6¢ | +$16 | $200 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 38.4¢ | 52¢ | +$6 | $400 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $887 | 30/04/2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 23.1¢ | 22¢ | $-130 | $2,794 | 31/05/2026 |