Win rate
82.5%
339 W / 72 L
Total PnL
$978
realized $-1,022 · unrealized $2,000
Portfolio
$2,000
volume $512,159
Predictions
844
10.8/day · avg $607
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 93% +$3,407
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? | No | 50¢ | 78¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? | Yes | 6¢ | 11¢ | +$739 | win |
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Dominika Salkova vs Tatjana Maria | Tatjana Maria | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Wuning 2: Masamichi Imamura vs Moerani Bouzige | Moerani Bouzige | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| BMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alex Michelsen | Arthur Rinderknech | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Barcelona Open: Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutet | Corentin Moutet | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | win |
| Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-2.5) | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-17? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
Weather 100% +$87
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | win |
| San Jose Earthquakes vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5 | Under | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5) | San Jose Earthquakes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 50% +$15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-27? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | Up | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
Finance 71% $-51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | Yes | 52¢ | 42¢ | $-111 | loss |
| Waymo IPO before 2027? | No | 62¢ | 86¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Bank of America say "Tariff" during earnings call? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Politics 56% $-56
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31? | No | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15? | No | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
| TrumpRX launched by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will all of Trump's children attend the State of the Union? | No | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Historic" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Geopolitics 20% $-454
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Ukraine vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-107 | loss |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
Tech 48% $-720
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 54¢ | 88¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Monash FODMAP Diet be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 7? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-149 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | win |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 18? | No | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | loss |
Sports 77% $-1,106
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 60¢ | 28¢ | +$5 | win |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-660 | loss |
| US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon Nakashima | Roman Andres Burruchaga | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Hawks vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will Cardiff Rugby win? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Pistons vs. Thunder | Thunder | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Spread: Hawks (-1.5) | Hawks | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) | Rockets | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Spread: Clippers (-13.5) | Clippers | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Spread: Hornets (-8.5) | 76ers | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 87.4¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | $1,007 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $950 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-2.5) | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $575 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-17? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $549 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $179 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $206 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $92 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 97.0¢ | 96¢ | $-5 | $504 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $42 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-15? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $2,732 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-660 | $660 | 15/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Caroline Werner vs Nikola Bartunkova | Nikola Bartunkova | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $989 | 14/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges | Andrey Rublev | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $2,940 | 13/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Whitney Osuigwe vs Simona Waltert | Whitney Osuigwe | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $1,283 | 13/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Yi Zhou vs Giles Hussey | Yi Zhou | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $389 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-11? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | $1,066 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-12? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $2,405 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $781 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | $2,592 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-11? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $1,827 | 11/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Yulia Starodubtseva | Yulia Starodubtseva | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $587 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will PSV win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $753 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-10? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | $3,308 | 10/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencic | Madison Keys | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $655 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Fabian Marozsan | Fabian Marozsan | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $1,173 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-09? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $2,011 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-04-10? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 10/04/2026 |
| Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $146 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Crusaders win? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $720 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the match end in a draw? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $347 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Fijian Drua win? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $257 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bucharest Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Adrian Mannarino | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $980 | 09/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Jessica Pegula | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $482 | 09/04/2026 |
| Miyazaki: Yi Zhou vs Ognjen Milic | Ognjen Milic | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $980 | 09/04/2026 |
| US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon Nakashima | Roman Andres Burruchaga | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $495 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-09? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $693 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor end in a draw? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 09/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Renata Zarazua vs Yulia Starodubtseva | Yulia Starodubtseva | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $426 | 09/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Sara Bejlek vs Belinda Bencic | Belinda Bencic | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $84 | 09/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Renata Zarazua | Renata Zarazua | 93.2¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $559 | 08/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $960 | 08/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Putintseva | Jessica Pegula | 93.2¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $373 | 08/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Donna Vekic | Madison Keys | 92.3¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $277 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bucharest Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Botic van de Zandschulp | Botic van de Zandschulp | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $440 | 08/04/2026 |
| Grand Prix Hassan II: Marco Trungelliti vs Kamil Majchrzak | Marco Trungelliti | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $369 | 08/04/2026 |
| Miyazaki: Hayato Matsuoka vs Liam Broady | Liam Broady | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $87 | 08/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Putintseva | Yulia Putintseva | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $60 | 08/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Katie Volynets vs Diana Shnaider | Diana Shnaider | 92.2¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $553 | 07/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Sara Bejlek vs Akasha Urhobo | Sara Bejlek | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $1,733 | 07/04/2026 |