Win rate
47.4%
111 W / 123 L
Total PnL
$-8,495
realized $-30,361 · unrealized $21,866
Portfolio
$21,866
volume $1,684,918
Predictions
262
2.6/day · avg $6,431
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 20/05/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 54% +$9,896
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 46¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 48¢ | 52¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva | Mirra Andreeva | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina | Elina Svitolina | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Charles Jourdain | 57¢ | 56¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Belgium qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | loss |
| Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
Geopolitics 86% +$1,028
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 53¢ | 0¢ | +$342 | win |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 65¢ | 0¢ | +$215 | win |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 47¢ | 100¢ | $-104 | loss |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | +$142 | win |
Elections 100% +$150
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$150 | win |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Crypto 40% $-156
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | No | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | Yes | 38¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-341 | loss |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
Politics 75% $-174
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | — |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-613 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$160 | win |
| Will Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$211 | win |
Weather 0% $-618
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks | Kansas Jayhawks | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-618 | loss |
Culture 0% $-1,547
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025) | Yes | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-1,547 | loss |
Other 41% $-17,172
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Petr Yan fight Sean O’Malley next? | No | 75¢ | 90¢ | $-92 | loss |
| Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next? | Yes | 56¢ | 64¢ | +$376 | win |
| Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | No | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 25¢ | 14¢ | $-71 | loss |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-774 | loss |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 55¢ | 98¢ | +$4,879 | win |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | No | 10¢ | 4¢ | +$78 | win |
| Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-958 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Charles Jourdain | 57.0¢ | 56¢ | $-5 | $570 | 19/04/2026 |
| ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 33.6¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $39 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $95 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Belgium qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | $85 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | $64 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 17.4¢ | 0¢ | $-867 | $867 | 04/04/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | +$342 | $2,234 | 31/03/2026 |
| Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31? | No | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$297 | $446 | 31/03/2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31? | Yes | 16.4¢ | 0¢ | $-613 | $2,510 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance? | Yes | 45.3¢ | 0¢ | $-1,242 | $1,242 | 31/03/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5 | Over | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$255 | $255 | 22/03/2026 |
| Jets vs. Rangers | Rangers | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | $1,000 | 22/03/2026 |
| Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators | Florida Gators | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,500 | $1,500 | 22/03/2026 |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers | Virginia Cavaliers | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-966 | $966 | 22/03/2026 |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks | Kansas Jayhawks | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-618 | $620 | 22/03/2026 |
| Flyers vs. Ducks | Ducks | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-131 | $131 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,004 | $1,004 | 17/03/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 64.6¢ | 0¢ | +$215 | $797 | 28/02/2026 |
| Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | No | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | $1,501 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $930 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $780 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | $-104 | $282 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Marseaux win Sing for Greece 2026? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-250 | $250 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,024 | $2,176 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,007 | $2,007 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3,923 | $1,500 | 18/02/2026 |
| Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | No | 48.5¢ | 100¢ | $-609 | $1,442 | 18/02/2026 |
| Musetti vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5 | Under 4.5 | 60.0¢ | 50¢ | $-8 | $45 | 11/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic | Musetti | 80.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,400 | $2,400 | 11/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien | Tien | 35.0¢ | 100¢ | +$975 | $525 | 08/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo | Cerundolo | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-493 | $493 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 3.6¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Christian McCaffrey be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year? | Yes | 54.5¢ | 100¢ | +$919 | $1,101 | 07/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublev | Cerundolo | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,154 | $944 | 06/02/2026 |
| Bouzkova vs. Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$200 | $800 | 05/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinka | Gea | 63.5¢ | 0¢ | $-2,998 | $2,998 | 05/02/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Islanders | Islanders | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$936 | $936 | 04/02/2026 |
| Will Antoine Semenyo sign with a new club during the winter transfer window? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$495 | $500 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will Rúben Neves sign with a new club during the winter transfer window? | No | 30.7¢ | 100¢ | +$278 | $123 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will Marc Guehi sign with a new club during the winter transfer window? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 100¢ | +$164 | $41 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will Neymar sign with a new club during the winter transfer window? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $137 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will Adam Wharton sign with a new club during the winter transfer window? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will Marc-André ter Stegen sign with a new club during the winter transfer window? | No | 50.2¢ | 0¢ | $-1,220 | $1,220 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will Kenan Yildiz sign with a new club during the winter transfer window? | Yes | 93.4¢ | 0¢ | $-1,375 | $1,375 | 03/02/2026 |
| Jets vs. Stars | Jets | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-499 | $499 | 03/02/2026 |
| Blues vs. Predators | Blues | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-497 | $497 | 03/02/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Wild | Canadiens | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 03/02/2026 |