trashtier

Other 64% +$3,014 $214,981 vol · 786 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Maduro guilty of all counts?	No	63¢	78¢	$-0	loss
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	27¢	100¢	+$4	win
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	No	45¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	51¢	66¢	$-84	loss
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	25¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	No	36¢	0¢	+$29	win
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	Yes	25¢	22¢	+$25	win
Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?	Yes	45¢	62¢	+$16	win
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$12	win

Politics 72% +$2,651 $234,776 vol · 453 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	84¢	79¢	$-3	loss
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	90¢	92¢	+$0	—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	43¢	39¢	$-8	loss
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	27¢	+$1	win
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	54¢	0¢	$-90	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	87¢	92¢	+$20	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	26¢	0¢	+$16	win
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	80¢	84¢	+$12	win
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	70¢	74¢	+$8	win

Elections 56% +$1,998 $78,667 vol · 202 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$0	—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	17¢	17¢	+$0	win
America Party candidate on a federal or gubernatorial ballot in 2025?	Yes	36¢	0¢	+$8	win
America Party candidate on a federal or gubernatorial ballot in 2025?	No	59¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	45¢	44¢	+$4	win
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	62¢	66¢	$-25	loss
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	45¢	52¢	+$47	win
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	14¢	14¢	+$74	win
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	53¢	56¢	+$2	win
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	81¢	86¢	$-58	loss

Esports 61% +$1,762 $39,604 vol · 239 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gen.G complete the League of Legends “Golden Road” in 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Vici Gaming	35¢	36¢	+$1	win
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	FURIA	48¢	100¢	+$9	win
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	MOUZ	51¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Vitality	66¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	Natus Vincere	85¢	100¢	+$5	win
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	Aurora Gaming	65¢	100¢	+$-0	—
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	55¢	100¢	+$40	win
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs	Nigma Galaxy	43¢	100¢	+$36	win
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs	TheMongolz	68¢	100¢	+$0	—

Geopolitics 73% +$1,492 $453,701 vol · 533 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	96¢	100¢	$-98	loss
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	96¢	100¢	$-92	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	70¢	0¢	$-291	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	35¢	0¢	+$47	win
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	78¢	91¢	+$14	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	44¢	30¢	+$3	win
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	78¢	86¢	+$1	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	49¢	18¢	+$1	win
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	80¢	84¢	+$0	—
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	39¢	100¢	$-126	loss

Culture 65% +$1,177 $12,439 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	47¢	100¢	+$124	win
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$250	win
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	22¢	100¢	+$130	win
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	19¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$92	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	54¢	100¢	+$84	win
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	43¢	100¢	+$40	win
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	84¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	80¢	0¢	+$2	win

Crypto 74% +$902 $23,734 vol · 62 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	23¢	28¢	+$13	win
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	No	43¢	42¢	+$1	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?	No	88¢	100¢	+$152	win
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition	Yes	76¢	100¢	$-41	loss
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?	No	73¢	100¢	+$256	win
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?	Yes	62¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	No	97¢	100¢	$-9	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	99¢	100¢	+$3	win

Tech 76% +$574 $18,976 vol · 50 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on March 10?	No	98¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 2 above $210?	Yes	75¢	100¢	$-35	loss
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 2 above $175?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Meta (META) close at <$690 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on February 2?	No	91¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 on February 2?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 2?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on February 2?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on February 2?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on February 2?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Mentions 68% +$172 $2,642 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 12, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	Yes	71¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	No	33¢	100¢	$-30	loss
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?	No	61¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	No	85¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?	No	61¢	100¢	+$68	win
Will SBF tweet again by Wednesday?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-25	loss
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?	Yes	76¢	0¢	$-46	loss

Weather 0% +$0 $470 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes	Missouri Tigers	45¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on March 31?	No	85¢	100¢	+$0	—

Economy 63% $-44 $13,639 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	32¢	26¢	+$74	win
US recession by end of 2026?	No	63¢	74¢	$-25	loss
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	92¢	100¢	$-84	loss
US recession in 2025?	No	80¢	100¢	$-2	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	76¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	78¢	100¢	+$0	—
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	58¢	100¢	$-14	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	68¢	0¢	$-245	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$18	win
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Finance 59% $-115 $4,881 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 18?	Up	37¢	0¢	+$12	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 18?	Down	98¢	100¢	$-31	loss
Will NYSE be fully closed Monday?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19?	Down	74¢	100¢	+$13	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18?	Down	7¢	0¢	+$40	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 18?	Up	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18?	Up	92¢	100¢	$-42	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5?	Down	90¢	100¢	+$3	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 4?	Down	37¢	0¢	$-3	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 3?	Down	24¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Sports 77% $-268 $40,646 vol · 234 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	23¢	75¢	+$28	win
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	70¢	98¢	+$1	win
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	65¢	78¢	+$15	win
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	52¢	52¢	+$1	win
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Jirí Procházka	49¢	0¢	$-237	loss
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Curtis Blaydes	53¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Team Falcons qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$12	win
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Maycee Barber	63¢	0¢	$-38	loss
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	69¢	100¢	+$34	win
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)	Michael Page	65¢	100¢	+$12	win