Win rate
43.6%
55 W / 71 L
Total PnL
$72
realized $-481 · unrealized $553
Portfolio
$553
volume $37,856
Predictions
522
0.9/day · avg $73
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 67% +$42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | Yes | 8¢ | 2¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | +$37 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
Sports 43% $-25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | +$4 | win |
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) | Bulls | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) | Mavericks | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | Suns | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Spread: Raptors (-6.5) | Bulls | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Spread: Lakers (-7.5) | Mavericks | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) | Jazz | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Spread: Magic (-10.5) | Bucks | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) | Clippers | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Spread: Nets (-5.5) | Pacers | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
Politics 0% $-41
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Melania say "President Trump" during AI talk on Friday? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
Tech 33% $-131
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 17¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
Crypto 33% $-159
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | Yes | 69¢ | 72¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by January 31? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19? | Yes | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | loss |
Other 62% $-167
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 43¢ | 21¢ | +$3 | win |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? | No | 18¢ | 31¢ | +$15 | win |
| Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 40¢ | 7¢ | +$12 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 16.7¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $59 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | $110 | 31/03/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Bulls | Bulls | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 22/02/2026 |
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) | Bulls | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 22/02/2026 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) | Mavericks | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $25 | 21/02/2026 |
| Suns vs. Spurs | Suns | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 20/02/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Bulls | Bulls | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 20/02/2026 |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | Suns | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 20/02/2026 |
| Spread: Raptors (-6.5) | Bulls | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 20/02/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Lakers | Mavericks | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 13/02/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Jazz | Jazz | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 13/02/2026 |
| Spread: Lakers (-7.5) | Mavericks | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 13/02/2026 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) | Jazz | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 13/02/2026 |
| Bucks vs. Magic | Bucks | 20.0¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $20 | 12/02/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Rockets | Clippers | 25.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $20 | 12/02/2026 |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) | Clippers | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $25 | 12/02/2026 |
| Spread: Magic (-10.5) | Bucks | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $25 | 12/02/2026 |
| Spread: Nets (-5.5) | Pacers | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $25 | 12/02/2026 |
| Spread: Hornets (-6.5) | Hawks | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $25 | 12/02/2026 |
| Spread: Jazz (-6.5) | Kings | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 12/02/2026 |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Warriors | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 12/02/2026 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5) | Wizards | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 12/02/2026 |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) | Suns | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 12/02/2026 |
| Spread: Celtics (-14.5) | Bulls | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 12/02/2026 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5) | Trail Blazers | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 12/02/2026 |
| Pacers vs. Knicks | Pacers | 16.0¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | $20 | 11/02/2026 |
| Spread: Knicks (-12.5) | Pacers | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $25 | 11/02/2026 |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) | Clippers | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $25 | 11/02/2026 |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | Lakers | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 11/02/2026 |
| Spread: Suns (-8.5) | Mavericks | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 11/02/2026 |
| Spread: Magic (-9.5) | Jazz | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $25 | 08/02/2026 |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) | Heat | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $25 | 07/02/2026 |
| Heat vs. Celtics | Heat | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 07/02/2026 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5) | Grizzlies | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 07/02/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Warriors | 32.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $20 | 06/02/2026 |
| Spread: Suns (-6.5) | Warriors | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $25 | 06/02/2026 |
| Spread: Hawks (-10.5) | Jazz | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $25 | 06/02/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Raptors | Bulls | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 06/02/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Hawks | Jazz | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 06/02/2026 |
| Spread: Raptors (-9.5) | Bulls | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 06/02/2026 |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | Mavericks | 53.8¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 06/02/2026 |
| Spread: Magic (-11.5) | Nets | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 06/02/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 04/02/2026 |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) | Wizards | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 04/02/2026 |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | Mavericks | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 04/02/2026 |
| Spread: Rockets (-10.5) | Mavericks | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $25 | 01/02/2026 |
| Spread: 76ers (-10.5) | Pelicans | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $25 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by January 31? | Yes | 12.6¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 01/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | +$37 | $174 | 31/01/2026 |