Win rate
83.0%
468 W / 96 L
Total PnL
$4,480
realized $-1,776 · unrealized $6,256
Portfolio
$6,256
volume $1,061,677
Predictions
665
1.2/day · avg $1,597
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Economy 100% +$49
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Politics 100% +$30
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 100% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Finance 0% $-98
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
Crypto 83% $-7,447
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 19? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17? | No | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-3,298 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 11? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$114 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 11? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10? | No | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-391 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9? | No | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-950 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 8? | No | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-715 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 7? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 5? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$120 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 19? | No | 80.0¢ | 92¢ | +$395 | $2,800 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 19? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | $3,000 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17? | No | 67.5¢ | 0¢ | $-3,298 | $3,380 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 11? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$114 | $600 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 11? | Yes | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $973 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10? | Yes | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | $3,466 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10? | No | 55.4¢ | 0¢ | $-391 | $400 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9? | No | 74.9¢ | 0¢ | $-950 | $950 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 8? | No | 18.3¢ | 0¢ | $-715 | $670 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 7? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $2,534 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 5? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$120 | $480 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 5? | Yes | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $968 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 4? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | $1,900 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3? | Yes | 90.5¢ | 100¢ | +$188 | $1,810 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 3? | Yes | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | $2,710 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 2? | Yes | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $2,730 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 2? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $258 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1? | Yes | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $2,800 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 31? | Yes | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | $1,498 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $97 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 30? | Yes | 91.1¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $273 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 30? | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $983 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 29? | Yes | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $2,564 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 28? | Yes | 90.7¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $726 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 28? | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $1,023 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 25? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $240 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 25? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $1,467 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 25? | Yes | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $978 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 23? | Yes | 90.2¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $1,533 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23? | No | 56.7¢ | 0¢ | $-477 | $481 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22? | Yes | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | $1,574 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 21? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $982 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 21? | Yes | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $1,416 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 20? | No | 90.6¢ | 100¢ | +$114 | $1,313 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 20? | Yes | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $1,195 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $389 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 20? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $660 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18? | No | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | $1,743 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 18? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $1,374 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $300 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $1,570 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 17? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $773 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 17? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $405 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 17? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $67 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 0¢ | $-410 | $528 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 16? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $347 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 16? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,105 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 14? | Yes | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $754 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 14? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $561 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 14? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $746 | 14/03/2026 |