Car

Geopolitics 69% +$550,291 $19,263,735 vol · 1158 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	19¢	0¢	+$486	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	95¢	100¢	+$4,665	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2,794	win
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$92	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2,515	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2,038	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	63¢	100¢	$-537	loss
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	77¢	86¢	+$1,529	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1,521	win
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	93¢	100¢	$-92	loss

Politics 71% +$306,953 $13,459,395 vol · 2290 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5¢	7¢	+$91	win
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	2¢	+$0	win
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50¢	61¢	+$0	—
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	Yes	16¢	26¢	+$496	win
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	4¢	7¢	+$133	win
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?	Yes	52¢	20¢	$-8	loss
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?	Yes	30¢	18¢	$-6	loss
Will Trump meet with Maria Corina Machado in 2026?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	8¢	8¢	+$7,023	win
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-584	loss

Other 66% +$231,444 $15,115,816 vol · 1813 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	No	83¢	99¢	+$32	win
Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?	No	50¢	100¢	+$540	win
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	65¢	100¢	+$3,874	win
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$1,222	win
Over $26M committed to the Space public sale?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	No	83¢	93¢	+$59	win
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	1¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	14¢	0¢	$-240	loss
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	57¢	0¢	$-203	loss
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	43¢	34¢	$-59	loss

Elections 76% +$49,777 $7,400,539 vol · 283 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	+$0	—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$0	—
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	46¢	38¢	+$20	win
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	40¢	42¢	+$25	win
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	Yes	30¢	20¢	+$24	win
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	82¢	84¢	+$150	win
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	83¢	84¢	+$44	win
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines in 2025?	Yes	59¢	0¢	+$34	win
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	71¢	66¢	$-165	loss
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	90¢	100¢	+$112	win

Crypto 54% +$36,820 $3,522,188 vol · 1329 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	27¢	44¢	+$350	win
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$164	win
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	76¢	18¢	$-4	loss
Bitcoin -12% daily candle change in 2026?	No	2¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	11¢	0¢	$-247	loss
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	30¢	34¢	+$475	win
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	54¢	64¢	+$164	win
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$91	win
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	51¢	51¢	+$490	win

Tech 70% +$25,577 $886,182 vol · 182 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?	Yes	13¢	7¢	+$160	win
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	84¢	78¢	+$8	win
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?	No	79¢	93¢	$-122	loss
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	12¢	70¢	+$230	win
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	49¢	38¢	+$667	win
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$524	win
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	7¢	6¢	$-8	loss
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?	No	84¢	100¢	+$200	win
GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?	No	2¢	0¢	$-54	loss
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-1,273	loss

Sports 73% +$18,582 $253,015 vol · 102 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase before 2027?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$11	win
LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair (BO5) - LFL Invitational Playoffs	French Flair	37¢	50¢	+$26	win
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-150	loss
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	8¢	0¢	$-240	loss
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	29¢	0¢	$-471	loss
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-661	loss
Will Leavitt say "Olympics" or "Women's Sports" during the next press briefing?	No	90¢	100¢	+$33	win
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	No	29¢	0¢	$-72	loss
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$851	win

Finance 72% +$12,180 $334,745 vol · 90 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	60¢	66¢	+$12	win
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	90¢	94¢	+$17	win
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	20¢	24¢	+$67	win
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by December 31?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$48	win
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	83¢	100¢	+$231	win
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	No	34¢	5¢	+$32	win
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	19¢	0¢	+$71	win
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	81¢	26¢	+$23	win
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	70¢	52¢	$-7	loss
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	45¢	74¢	+$607	win

Economy 70% +$9,156 $452,339 vol · 61 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?	No	25¢	86¢	+$3,340	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	88¢	100¢	+$100	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	2¢	0¢	$-93	loss
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%?	No	45¢	100¢	+$112	win
US recession in 2025?	No	61¢	100¢	+$177	win
US recession in 2025?	Yes	56¢	0¢	$-5	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$420	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$11	win
Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-153	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	3¢	0¢	$-31	loss

Esports 67% +$3,103 $44,164 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3)	G2	84¢	100¢	+$289	win
Kai and Speed win Fortnite today?	No	58¢	100¢	+$1,068	win
Will Kai and Speed take 25-49 attempts to beat Fortnite?	No	96¢	0¢	+$20	win
Will Kai and Speed take 200 or more attempts to beat Fortnite?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-74	loss
Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Monday?	No	90¢	100¢	+$28	win
Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Monday?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-157	loss
Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Sunday?	Yes	31¢	0¢	+$510	win
Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 50-74 tries?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 21-49 tries?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Kai and Speed win Fortnite before midnight?	No	91¢	100¢	+$146	win

Weather 71% +$1,318 $67,391 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	90¢	96¢	+$737	win
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	90¢	90¢	+$2	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$16	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?	Yes	73¢	0¢	$-131	loss
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm	Northern Iowa Panthers	2¢	0¢	+$9,890	win
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm	St. Johns Red Storm	98¢	100¢	$-9,961	loss
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-65	loss
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-61	loss
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$137	win
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?	No	3¢	0¢	+$164	win

Culture 73% +$1,104 $31,257 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?	No	0¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$98	win
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$81	win
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$79	win
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-118	loss
Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$136	win
Will Kanye West release an album before July?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$432	win
Fact check: Was Luigi Mangione a lone actor?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$486	win

Mentions 70% +$195 $40,813 vol · 54 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	No	72¢	100¢	+$55	win
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Tuesday?	No	87¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Ye tweet again by next Friday?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$100	win
Will Dittman tweet less than 60 times Jan 3-Jan 10?	No	95¢	100¢	$-7	loss
Will Ansem tweet again before SOL all time high?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will Hailey Welch tweet again by December 20?	No	89¢	0¢	$-523	loss
Will Luigi Mangione tweet again by Friday?	No	97¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Will Luigi Mangione tweet again by Friday?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-86	loss