Win rate
60.9%
260 W / 167 L
Total PnL
$-622
realized $-1,160 · unrealized $538
Portfolio
$538
volume $54,869
Predictions
959
11.9/day · avg $57
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 78% +$282
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 59¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Israel strike 1 country in 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$6 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | No | 56¢ | 16¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | Yes | 61¢ | 18¢ | $-60 | loss |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 73¢ | 72¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | 74¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 54% +$133
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Antonio Trocoli vs. Mantas Kondratavicius (Middleweight, Prelims) | Mantas Kondratavicius | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5 | Under | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Spread: Heat (-2.5) | Lakers | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Flyers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5 | Over | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans | Clippers | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5 | Over | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Spread: Knicks (-17.5) | Knicks | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | loss |
| Spread: Hawks (-8.5) | Hawks | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | Clippers | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | win |
| Magic vs. Heat | Magic | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | win |
Esports 55% +$39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | Dplus KIA | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner | Paper Rex | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | BetBoom Team | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner | Tundra Esports | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner | MOUZ | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner | Virtus.pro | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | Tundra Esports | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner | PARIVISION | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner | MOUZ | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
Weather 100% +$15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Musketeers vs. St. John's Red Storm | St. Johns Red Storm | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Politics 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Delcy" during Kentucky visit? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump say “Piggy” by February 28? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | No | 89¢ | 96¢ | $-10 | loss |
Finance 0% $-154
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Other 52% $-420
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? | No | 73¢ | 92¢ | +$9 | win |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | No | 74¢ | 96¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | No | 62¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5) | Hanwha Life Esports | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) | T1 | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines | Connecticut Huskies | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Team Vitality | 42¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group Stage | FlyQuest | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
Crypto 52% $-471
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | Down | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | Down | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | Down | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | Down | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | Down | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | Down | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | Down | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | Down | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | Down | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | Down | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 72.3¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $115 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 49.3¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | No | 61.8¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 15/04/2026 |
| Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5) | Hanwha Life Esports | 44.5¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 10/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | Dplus KIA | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 08/04/2026 |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) | T1 | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 08/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 92.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $35 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 07/04/2026 |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines | Connecticut Huskies | 28.5¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 07/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Team Vitality | 41.6¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $28 | 06/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group Stage | FlyQuest | 49.9¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 06/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Group Stage | Dignitas | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 06/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Group Stage | Disguised | 46.8¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $25 | 05/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner | Nongshim Red Force | 56.2¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $24 | 05/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner | Disguised | 83.7¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $52 | 05/04/2026 |
| LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner | SK Gaming | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 05/04/2026 |
| LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner | LYON | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $26 | 05/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner | DN SOOPers | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 05/04/2026 |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner | Natus Vincere | 47.5¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 04/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner | Paper Rex | 53.4¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 04/04/2026 |
| LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports | 50.7¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 04/04/2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 65.8¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $145 | 31/03/2026 |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31? | Yes | 54.1¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $70 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7? | No | 53.8¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $70 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026? | Yes | 39.6¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 43.3¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026? | Yes | 74.7¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026? | No | 72.5¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $70 | 31/03/2026 |
| US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7? | No | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026? | No | 83.9¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 54.6¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026? | No | 85.8¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026? | No | 82.9¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $70 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026? | Yes | 89.4¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 63.5¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026? | Yes | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | No | 58.9¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026? | Yes | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026? | No | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $57 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 6, 2026? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $139 | 31/03/2026 |
| BitBoy convicted? | No | 88.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 24, 2026? | Yes | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026? | Yes | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $70 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1? | No | 93.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |