rickyhilgers

Culture 100% +$390 $3,432 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	86¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?	No	89¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$44	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	No	90¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	No	87¢	100¢	+$44	win
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$20	win

Politics 100% +$112 $1,012 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	No	89¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on March 27, 2026?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 27, 2026?	No	89¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	+$39	win

Elections 71% +$62 $4,382 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	93¢	74¢	$-35	loss
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?	No	88¢	90¢	+$12	win
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	90¢	90¢	$-0	loss
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?	Yes	87¢	86¢	$-1	loss
Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	No	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	89¢	98¢	+$7	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	87¢	84¢	$-8	loss
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?	No	92¢	96¢	+$11	win
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?	No	89¢	100¢	+$4	win

Crypto 75% +$38 $1,079 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 11?	No	92¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 29?	No	94¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 29?	No	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 28?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 27?	No	92¢	100¢	$-13	loss
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 27?	No	93¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 26?	No	94¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 26?	No	91¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 25?	No	91¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 24?	No	91¢	100¢	$-5	loss

Tech 100% +$10 $130 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026	No	94¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?	No	90¢	100¢	+$4	win

Mentions 82% $-59 $2,411 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	No	90¢	98¢	+$77	win
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	92¢	0¢	$-234	loss
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?	No	91¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	No	87¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?	No	89¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	No	88¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?	No	87¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?	No	88¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	$-9	loss

Geopolitics 0% $-94 $120 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Russia win on 2026-03-27?	Yes	92¢	100¢	$-94	loss

Weather 72% $-559 $9,316 vol · 107 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 18?	No	93¢	92¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 17?	No	90¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 17?	No	88¢	99¢	+$4	win
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 17?	No	88¢	98¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 16?	No	87¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 15?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C or higher on April 15?	No	89¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 15?	No	93¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 15?	No	88¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 15?	No	92¢	0¢	$-191	loss

Other 71% $-1,269 $16,118 vol · 77 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 RBC Heritage?	No	87¢	95¢	+$2	win
Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026?	No	87¢	85¢	$-1	loss
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-17?	No	94¢	96¢	+$12	win
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-18?	No	88¢	88¢	$-1	loss
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-04-17?	Yes	89¢	88¢	$-1	loss
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-04-17?	No	88¢	84¢	$-51	loss
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-17?	No	94¢	100¢	+$63	win
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-04-17?	No	90¢	100¢	+$93	win
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17?	No	88¢	100¢	+$64	win