Win rate
91.7%
22 W / 2 L
Total PnL
$135
realized $-1,272 · unrealized $1,407
Portfolio
$1,407
volume $126,991
Predictions
93
4.3/day · avg $1,366
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 89% +$128
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 78¢ | 73¢ | +$3 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 62¢ | 64¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026? | No | 55¢ | 0¢ | +$23 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Yes | 71¢ | 92¢ | +$13 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | No | 71¢ | 56¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 64¢ | 56¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 93¢ | +$68 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 78¢ | 96¢ | +$3 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 55¢ | 4¢ | +$-0 | — |
Politics 100% +$44
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 81¢ | 74¢ | +$0 | — |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 100% +$42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 78¢ | 64¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | No | 55¢ | 69¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Barcelona Open: Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutet | Corentin Moutet | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
Elections 75% +$39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 83¢ | 92¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 53¢ | 66¢ | +$4 | win |
Crypto 100% +$29
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 93¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | No | 84¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Yes | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (37)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $98 | 01/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $28 | 01/04/2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,458 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,000 | 28/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $899 | 28/02/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 78.0¢ | 96¢ | +$3 | $3,498 | 18/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 55.0¢ | 4¢ | +$-0 | $380 | 18/04/2026 |
| Barcelona Open: Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutet | Corentin Moutet | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $2,826 | 20/04/2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | No | 75.0¢ | 93¢ | +$68 | $848 | 21/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 81.0¢ | 74¢ | +$0 | $34 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 81.0¢ | 70¢ | +$0 | $916 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $1,527 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026? | No | 55.1¢ | 0¢ | +$23 | $592 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 78.0¢ | 64¢ | +$16 | $2,792 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 92¢ | +$13 | $484 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | No | 74.0¢ | 96¢ | +$2 | $178 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | No | 55.0¢ | 93¢ | +$2 | $132 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 55.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $4,212 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | No | 71.3¢ | 56¢ | +$0 | $103 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,529 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | No | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $133 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | No | 55.0¢ | 69¢ | +$-0 | $1,625 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 64.0¢ | 56¢ | $-18 | $2,354 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | No | 61.0¢ | 42¢ | +$20 | $3,155 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | No | 65.0¢ | 90¢ | +$5 | $1,329 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Yes | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | No | 84.0¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | $50 | 01/05/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 62.0¢ | 64¢ | +$33 | $1,376 | 31/05/2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 78.0¢ | 73¢ | +$3 | $904 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 78.3¢ | 75¢ | +$37 | $3,117 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 53.0¢ | 66¢ | +$4 | $437 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 50.0¢ | 34¢ | +$1 | $1,352 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 83.0¢ | 92¢ | $-3 | $3,877 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84.0¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | $20 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96.4¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $900 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $886 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 92.6¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $539 | 01/01/2027 |