pestanimal

Tech 50% +$231 $113 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	3¢	28¢	+$210	win

Other 36% +$134 $4,537 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	50¢	51¢	+$0	—
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	50¢	69¢	+$0	—
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	50¢	31¢	$-13	loss
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	50¢	49¢	+$0	—
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	50¢	52¢	+$0	—
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	3¢	3¢	+$6	win
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	50¢	64¢	+$0	—
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	50¢	73¢	+$0	—
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	No	50¢	82¢	+$0	—
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	50¢	72¢	+$0	—

Culture 39% $-19 $2,870 vol · 46 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?	Yes	50¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$60	win
Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?	Yes	11¢	100¢	$-27	loss

Finance 14% $-33 $2,385 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX list on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or NYSE?	Yes	25¢	5¢	$-113	loss
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?	No	50¢	80¢	+$0	—
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	50¢	60¢	+$0	—
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?	No	50¢	46¢	+$0	—
Will SpaceX list on the NASDAQ?	No	50¢	6¢	+$0	—
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	7¢	5¢	$-30	loss

Geopolitics 0% $-61 $550 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-61	loss

Politics 32% $-132 $7,544 vol · 55 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	50¢	73¢	+$0	—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50¢	61¢	+$0	—
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	+$20	win
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-69	loss
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	50¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—

Weather 25% $-221 $3,848 vol · 152 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 7?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 7?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on April 7?	No	50¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 7?	No	50¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on April 7?	Yes	50¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 7?	Yes	50¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 7?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 6?	Yes	49¢	0¢	+$10	win
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 6?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 6?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—

Sports 20% $-286 $5,240 vol · 46 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	50¢	88¢	+$0	—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	50¢	12¢	$-155	loss
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	50¢	58¢	+$0	—
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	50¢	42¢	$-4	loss
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	No	50¢	56¢	+$0	—
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	50¢	44¢	$-3	loss
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	50¢	70¢	+$0	—
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	50¢	61¢	+$0	—
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	50¢	30¢	$-20	loss
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	50¢	84¢	+$0	—

Elections 57% $-289 $3,733 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$0	—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	$-369	loss
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	50¢	78¢	+$0	—
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	50¢	58¢	+$46	win
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	50¢	64¢	+$0	—
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	50¢	42¢	+$0	—
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	50¢	63¢	+$0	—
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	No	50¢	48¢	+$0	—
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	50¢	52¢	+$5	win
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	No	50¢	40¢	+$0	—

Mentions 32% $-690 $107,901 vol · 614 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	50¢	86¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	50¢	14¢	$-72	loss
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	50¢	80¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	Yes	50¢	20¢	$-11	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	50¢	72¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	50¢	26¢	$-243	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-107	loss
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	50¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-1,190	loss
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—