Win rate
59.5%
204 W / 139 L
Total PnL
$-57,312
realized $-60,217 · unrealized $2,905
Portfolio
$2,905
volume $2,048,221
Predictions
339
0.5/day · avg $6,042
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/01/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Politics 50% +$602
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | Simion | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$627 | win |
| Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Economy 0% $-2,100
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-1,476 | loss |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-620 | loss |
Geopolitics 67% $-2,120
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-21? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$380 | win |
| US military action against Iran before July? | No | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-2,655 | loss |
| US military action against Iran by Friday? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$155 | win |
Crypto 59% $-8,284
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 7AM ET | Up | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2AM ET | Up | 41¢ | 100¢ | $-341 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | Down | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | Up | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$211 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | Down | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$193 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | Up | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | Up | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | Up | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | Up | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-241 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Other 61% $-10,601
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 45¢ | 98¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? | No | 55¢ | 55¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5) | Cobolli | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$570 | win |
| BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Vit Kopriva | Flavio Cobolli | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$323 | win |
| Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodar | Rafael Jodar | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$668 | win |
| Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Machac (+1.5) | Machac | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-520 | loss |
| Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublev | Tomas Machac | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-211 | loss |
| BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan | Denis Shapovalov | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$238 | win |
| BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcan | Alex Molcan | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$967 | win |
| BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Gabriel Diallo | Alexander Zverev | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
Elections 0% $-10,688
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | No | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-3,762 | loss |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-6,926 | loss |
Sports 59% $-22,945
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors vs. Kings | Raptors | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Jazz vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Grizzlies vs. Thunder | Thunder | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Rockets vs. Kings | Rockets | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-420 | loss |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | win |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-912 | loss |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Eala vs Victoria Mboko | Mboko | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | win |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati? | Yes | 52¢ | 0¢ | +$118 | win |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati? | No | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament? | No | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$336 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Italy win on 2026-03-31? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-354 | $357 | 31/03/2026 |
| Miami Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Marin Cilic | Brandon Nakashima | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,607 | $1,607 | 27/03/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5) | Sinner | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | $-296 | $296 | 13/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina | Rybakina | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $85 | 12/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina | Svitolina | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-199 | $284 | 12/02/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Musetti (+2.5) | Musetti | 69.0¢ | 50¢ | $-246 | $1,202 | 11/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic | Musetti | 62.2¢ | 0¢ | $-2,411 | $2,411 | 11/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur | Alcaraz | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$354 | $2,007 | 10/02/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Tien (+2.5) | Tien | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$318 | $778 | 10/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruud | Shelton | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$940 | $1,671 | 09/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien | Tien | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$467 | $2,442 | 08/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul | Alcaraz | 88.5¢ | 100¢ | +$155 | $1,199 | 08/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz | Fritz | 90.4¢ | 100¢ | +$146 | $1,385 | 07/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinner | Sinner | 91.5¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $732 | 07/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruud | Ruud | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | $-141 | $1,341 | 07/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreeva | Andreeva | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,664 | $1,664 | 07/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverry | Bublik | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$252 | $948 | 06/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Valentin Vacherot | Shelton | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$241 | $908 | 06/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Hailey Baptiste | Gauff | 91.6¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | $1,178 | 06/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Women's: Gabriela Ruse vs Mirra Andreeva | Andreeva | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $339 | 06/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodar | Mensik | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$439 | $716 | 05/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruud | Ruud | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | $180 | 05/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Varvara Gracheva | Rybakina | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $238 | 05/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinka | Gea | 62.0¢ | 0¢ | $-441 | $558 | 05/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Tomas Machac vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | Machac | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$243 | $366 | 04/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Marton Fucsovics | Bublik | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $418 | 04/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 7AM ET | Up | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $99 | 29/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2AM ET | Up | 41.3¢ | 100¢ | $-341 | $606 | 29/01/2026 |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK end in a draw? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $51 | 29/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | Down | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $56 | 29/01/2026 |
| AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 44.5¢ | 100¢ | +$333 | $267 | 28/01/2026 |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-28? | No | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $354 | 28/01/2026 |
| RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5 | Over | 80.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $24 | 28/01/2026 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5 | Under | 78.4¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | $741 | 28/01/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$240 | $1,760 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-25? | No | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-254 | $254 | 25/01/2026 |
| Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 | Under | 74.1¢ | 100¢ | +$512 | $1,465 | 24/01/2026 |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-24? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$324 | $876 | 24/01/2026 |
| West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5 | Under | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$198 | $243 | 24/01/2026 |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-24? | Yes | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$190 | $310 | 24/01/2026 |
| Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-24? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $456 | 24/01/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23? | Yes | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $188 | 23/01/2026 |
| FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. FC Basel 1893: O/U 4.5 | Under | 77.5¢ | 100¢ | +$121 | $1,056 | 22/01/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Kings | Raptors | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $354 | 22/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | Up | 53.4¢ | 100¢ | +$211 | $241 | 21/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21? | Down | 73.1¢ | 100¢ | +$193 | $528 | 21/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | Up | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | $128 | 21/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | Up | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $80 | 21/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | Up | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | $140 | 21/01/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | Up | 62.8¢ | 0¢ | $-241 | $243 | 21/01/2026 |