Win rate
65.5%
922 W / 485 L
Total PnL
$59,602
realized $26,386 · unrealized $33,216
Portfolio
$33,216
volume $6,477,423
Predictions
1,287
15.0/day · avg $5,033
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 22/08/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 64% +$25,389
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 52¢ | 38¢ | +$4 | win |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | win |
| Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Eric Adams charged by December 31? | No | 64¢ | 72¢ | +$56 | win |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 60¢ | 67¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 15¢ | 24¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will the US strike 3 countries in 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $-95 | loss |
Esports 63% +$10,507
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner | MVK Esports | 35¢ | 57¢ | +$30 | win |
| LoL: NRG Esports vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season | Blue Otter | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| LoL: CCG Esports vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winner | CCG Esports | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Disguised | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Team Liquid | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winner | Gen.G Global Academy | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$443 | win |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner | KT Rolster Challengers | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$303 | win |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner | Nongshim Esports Academy | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Cloud9 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Sentinels | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 69% +$10,095
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | loss |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Bilibili Gaming | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$587 | win |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Bilibili Gaming | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$124 | win |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | JD Gaming | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | JD Gaming | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | win |
| LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair - Game 1 Winner | French Flair | 70¢ | 50¢ | $-986 | loss |
| LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair - Game 4 Winner | Galions Sharks | 23¢ | 50¢ | +$52 | win |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Weibo Gaming | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | win |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | JD Gaming | 28¢ | 0¢ | +$79 | win |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Invictus Gaming | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
Tech 76% +$2,626
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | win |
| Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-358 | loss |
Geopolitics 75% +$1,697
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | No | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-221 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-817 | loss |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will there be a new supreme leader of Iran before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$40 | win |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | 10¢ | 41¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 3¢ | 1¢ | $-76 | loss |
Mentions 75% +$505
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khamenei post 200+ posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-180 | loss |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 17, 2026? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026? | No | 11¢ | 0¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 24? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | loss |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 11, 2026? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 75% +$480
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$169 | win |
| LoL: Diversion Gaming vs Ethereal Enigmas (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stage | Ethereal Enigmas | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 20-26? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | loss |
| Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | $-110 | loss |
| Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 18¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | +$79 | win |
| Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 83% +$148
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 83¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 3¢ | 5¢ | +$81 | win |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 69¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
Politics 77% +$36
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | +$75 | win |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 61¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 50¢ | 39¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 73¢ | +$6,795 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 81¢ | 93¢ | +$50 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | — |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 10¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | win |
Finance 50% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 58¢ | 52¢ | $-94 | loss |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | No | 29¢ | 19¢ | +$252 | win |
| Will MarketAxess Holdings (MKTX) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 23¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Wendy’s (WEN) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will KKR & Co (KKR) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | loss |
| Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | loss |
| Will McDonald’s (MCD) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 21¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | win |
| Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | +$94 | win |
Culture 27% $-2,584
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2,492 | loss |
| Will Hoppers be the highest grossing movie this weekend? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 31m? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner | MVK Esports | 35.0¢ | 57¢ | +$30 | $42 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner | CTBC Flying Oyster | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $1,040 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: NRG Esports vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season | Blue Otter | 35.1¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season | CTBC Flying Oyster | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | +$440 | $73 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner | Disguised | 59.7¢ | 100¢ | +$533 | $1,042 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner | BNK FearX Youth | 44.5¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | $152 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner | Dplus KIA Challengers | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | $2,802 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner | BNK FearX Youth | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $130 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner | Dignitas | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | +$45 | $140 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: CCG Esports vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winner | CCG Esports | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $32 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner | HANJIN BRION Challengers | 47.3¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Disguised | 92.4¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Team Liquid | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $233 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner | Dignitas | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winner | Gen.G Global Academy | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$443 | $6,961 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | DN SOOPers Challengers | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | +$346 | $995 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner | KT Rolster Challengers | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | +$303 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner | Shopify Rebellion | 18.8¢ | 0¢ | +$193 | $326 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner | Sentinels | 90.6¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | $1,073 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | Nongshim Esports Academy | 75.8¢ | 100¢ | +$182 | $592 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner | Team Liquid | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$116 | $1,042 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Cloud9 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $10,411 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Dorado Gaming | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $107 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season | Dorado Gaming | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $38 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Sentinels | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $37 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner | Disguised | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner | Nongshim Esports Academy | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $1,964 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Dignitas | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $32 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner | Kiwoom DRX Challengers | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $60 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Citadel Gaming | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $27 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 91.0¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | $228 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner | Team Liquid | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-231 | $11,266 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | Team WE | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner | Disguised | 11.6¢ | 0¢ | +$588 | $756 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | FlyQuest | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$574 | $2,976 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner | FlyQuest | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | +$524 | $854 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 74.2¢ | 0¢ | +$310 | $4,772 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner | Team Liquid | 86.2¢ | 100¢ | +$218 | $4,463 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner | Team Liquid | 16.6¢ | 0¢ | +$206 | $348 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner | Cloud9 | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $259 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Team Liquid | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $365 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner | BNK FEARX | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-78 | $78 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner | FlyQuest | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-114 | $2,466 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 22.1¢ | 84¢ | $-137 | $1,423 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner | T1 Academy | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $162 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner | BNK FearX Youth | 28.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $26 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner | Dplus KIA Challengers | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner | DN SOOPers Challengers | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | $-51 | $1,100 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner | Dplus KIA Challengers | 12.8¢ | 0¢ | $-461 | $461 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | DN SOOPers Challengers | 33.2¢ | 0¢ | $-650 | $1,065 | 14/04/2026 |