renfree

Crypto 70% +$121 $121,120 vol · 1315 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 17?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Solana Up or Down on April 2?	Up	48¢	0¢	$-22	loss
XRP Up or Down on April 2?	Up	49¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Ethereum Up or Down on April 2?	Up	50¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 2?	Up	46¢	0¢	$-23	loss

Weather 99% +$84 $58,183 vol · 1003 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on April 19?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 43°F or below on April 19?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or below on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on April 18?	No	100¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 53°F or below on April 18?	No	98¢	98¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Tech 100% +$74 $2,541 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	54¢	88¢	+$15	win
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	No	94¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win

Sports 100% +$26 $299 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	13¢	0¢	+$-0	—
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 30?	No	94¢	100¢	+$7	win

Mentions 96% +$21 $20,610 vol · 170 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-57	loss
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	$-16	loss
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Elections 67% +$4 $620 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Tomio Okamura be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win

Other 85% $-10 $3,827 vol · 38 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?	No	86¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Sidemen's next video get between 5.0–6.0 million views on week 1?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Ripple ETF approved in 2025?	No	31¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Politics 88% $-35 $2,210 vol · 25 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump pardon Diddy by October 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 1?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the Senate pass funding bill by October 2?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration by September 30?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Geopolitics 89% $-424 $8,804 vol · 58 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	64¢	70¢	+$3	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	78¢	90¢	+$73	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	15¢	10¢	+$0	—
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	62¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	95¢	99¢	+$7	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$49	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	No	80¢	0¢	$-108	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$28	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	98¢	0¢	$-604	loss
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win