TylerDurdenTrader

Geopolitics 87% +$653 $2,450 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	67¢	74¢	+$13	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	57¢	62¢	+$9	win
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	56¢	80¢	+$4	win
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$24	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	No	87¢	100¢	+$20	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	62¢	84¢	+$31	win
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	93¢	0¢	+$17	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	92¢	100¢	+$10	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	11¢	100¢	+$462	win

Sports 50% +$2 $101 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	16¢	17¢	+$2	win

Politics 0% +$0 $92 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" during Monday news conference?	No	92¢	100¢	+$0	—

Mentions 0% $-50 $80 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	No	80¢	100¢	$-50	loss

Crypto 97% $-57 $3,032 vol · 60 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on March 13?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-95	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	89¢	100¢	+$6	win
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Other 50% $-63 $459 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	22¢	28¢	+$10	win
Will Brentford be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	97¢	99¢	+$2	win
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	35¢	32¢	$-3	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	18¢	30¢	+$39	win
Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$3	win
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-72	loss
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-35	loss

Weather 45% $-263 $1,129 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 18?	No	52¢	42¢	$-5	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 10?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on March 27?	Yes	46¢	100¢	+$50	win
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 25?	No	20¢	100¢	+$88	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 20?	No	98¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 19?	Yes	23¢	100¢	$-13	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 19?	No	89¢	0¢	$-267	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 18?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on March 6?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$15	win