Win rate
86.4%
76 W / 12 L
Total PnL
$-314
realized $-998 · unrealized $683
Portfolio
$683
volume $8,313
Predictions
96
5.3/day · avg $87
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 91% +$23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Deagle" be said 5+ times during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 96¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings | Royal Challengers Bangalore | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 6 above $4.00? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 83% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 31m? | No | 94¢ | 93¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 15m? | Yes | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than $17m? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Mentions 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Weather 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 18? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 18? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 10? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on April 9? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 8? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on April 7? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 7? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 7? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 7? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Jazz vs. Thunder | Thunder | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Esports 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | MIBR | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs TYLOO (BO5) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Playoffs | Lynn Vision | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Tech 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 10? | Up | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Politics 50% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | No | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
Finance 67% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 8? | Up | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7? | Down | 98¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 71% $-27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
Crypto 90% $-31
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19? | No | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 19? | No | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 17? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 18? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 17? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will XRP dip to $1.10 April 6-12? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on April 9? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 9? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 9? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 50% $-296
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 98¢ | 18¢ | $-77 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 97¢ | 0¢ | $-220 | loss |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 17? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 17? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $52 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 18? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 18? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $52 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 18? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $31 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $31 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.10 April 6-12? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $31 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $64 | 12/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings | Royal Challengers Bangalore | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $22 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $33 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on April 9? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 10? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 10? | Up | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $33 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 6 above $4.00? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 10/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $41 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 9? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 9? | Yes | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on April 9? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week? | Yes | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 8? | No | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 8? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 08/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 8? | Up | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on April 7? | No | 98.5¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 08/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $290 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $68 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on April 7? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 7? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $32 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 6? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 7? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on April 6? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 7? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $41 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $33 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $34 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6? | Yes | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $32 | 07/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | MIBR | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 7? | Yes | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 07/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7? | Down | 98.4¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 07/04/2026 |