polywallet polymarket whale scanner
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Win rate
53.6%
1079 W / 932 L
Total PnL
$49,157
realized $42,570 · unrealized $6,586
Portfolio
$6,586
volume $50,842,800
Predictions
5,801
42.1/day · avg $8,764

PnL history

Details

Joined22/03/2025
Last activity17/04/2026
Profiled at17/04/2026
Qualifiedno

Category breakdown

Elections 61% +$23,542 $400,012 vol · 458 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes $-2 loss
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +$2 win
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes $-5 loss
Will the Republican Party win the PA-02 House seat? Yes +$8 win
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 37¢ 39¢ +$1 win
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +$14 win
Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat? Yes +$19 win
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes +$9 win
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes +$62 win
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes 14¢ +$5 win
Other 53% +$12,752 $259,626 vol · 635 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes 15¢ 15¢ $-0 loss
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS? Yes $-29 loss
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +$3 win
Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch? No $-6 loss
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes $-15 loss
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes $-20 loss
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes $-57 loss
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? No $-57 loss
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes $-11 loss
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? Yes +$5 win
Politics 55% +$6,592 $85,211 vol · 195 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes $-14 loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes $-19 loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +$29 win
Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes $-37 loss
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes 38¢ $-33 loss
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Yes $-4 loss
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? Yes $-7 loss
Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? Yes 33¢ 11¢ $-1 loss
Will Billy Mawhiney be the Democratic Nominee for SD-AL? Yes $-8 loss
Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? Yes $-3 loss
Sports 51% +$1,972 $89,195 vol · 197 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +$12 win
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes $-1 loss
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? Yes $-8 loss
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $-4 loss
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes $-8 loss
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Yes $-1 loss
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Yes $-0 loss
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? No 33¢ 69¢ +$3 win
Will the Brooklyn Nets finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference? Yes $-25 loss
Will the New Orleans Pelicans finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference? Yes $-27 loss
Economy 67% +$1,727 $17,252 vol · 48 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes +$3 win
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes +$8 win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? No +$29 win
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? Yes +$123 win
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? Yes +$1 win
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%? Yes +$14 win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting? Yes $-9 loss
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? No $-20 loss
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? Yes +$47 win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? No $-21 loss
Geopolitics 44% +$1,358 $22,331 vol · 121 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? Yes $-70 loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 32¢ 70¢ +$16 win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes 10¢ +$6 win
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement? Yes $-14 loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? No $-52 loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? No $-34 loss
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? Yes +$3 win
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? Yes +$3 win
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30? Yes +$2 win
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? Yes +$23 win
Esports 67% +$766 $3,293 vol · 9 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will G2 Esports win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026? Yes $-21 loss
Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025? Yes +$62 win
Will NRG win VALORANT Champions 2025? No 10¢ $-23 loss
Will Fnatic win VALORANT Champions 2025? Yes $-25 loss
Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament? Yes 13¢ +$211 win
Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament? No 84¢ 100¢ +$146 win
Weather 36% +$688 $5,640 vol · 50 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026? Yes 16¢ $-89 loss
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15? Yes $-18 loss
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026? Yes $-13 loss
Earthquake 7.0 or above by September 30? No $-25 loss
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025? Yes +$28 win
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10-1.14ºC in June 2025? Yes $-26 loss
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00-1.04ºC in June 2025? No 22¢ $-117 loss
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup? Yes $-71 loss
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in May 2025? Yes 13¢ +$1 win
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65–66°F on May 25? Yes 24¢ $-59 loss
Tech 51% +$643 $21,756 vol · 107 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok? Yes 17¢ 10¢ +$11 win
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +$0 win
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes 11¢ $-6 loss
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31? Yes $-7 loss
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes $-10 loss
Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? Yes 10¢ +$5 win
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? No $-70 loss
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes $-2 loss
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes $-10 loss
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Yes +$32 win
Crypto 42% +$390 $18,695 vol · 94 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? No +$58 win
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +$20 win
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes $-2 loss
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026? No $-10 loss
Will Binance launch stock tokens in 2026? No $-21 loss
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 34¢ 40¢ $-24 loss
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? Yes 81¢ 100¢ +$66 win
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? No $-32 loss
First to 5k: Gold or ETH? ETH +$8 win
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes $-2 loss
Culture 63% +$241 $17,336 vol · 54 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes 16¢ +$5 win
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes $-2 loss
Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery? No $-35 loss
Will "The Romantic" by Bruno Mars be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 21? Yes $-64 loss
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? No 17¢ +$1 win
Will "Nobody 2" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? Yes 28¢ $-95 loss
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m? Yes $-28 loss
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? Yes 43¢ 100¢ +$4 win
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? Yes +$20 win
Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? Yes +$6 win
Finance 37% +$224 $1,526 vol · 19 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day? Yes 10¢ 14¢ +$8 win
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day? Yes $-3 loss
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes $-8 loss
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? Yes $-4 loss
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit 4750 (LOW) in March? Yes $-83 loss
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? Yes $-20 loss
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? Yes +$10 win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 12? Up $-17 loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? Up 44¢ 100¢ +$22 win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9? Up +$11 win
Mentions 47% $-99 $4,042 vol · 30 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? Yes $-15 loss
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026? Yes $-54 loss
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Yes $-32 loss
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? No 49¢ 100¢ +$0 win
Will Elon tweet 270 or more times June 27–July 4? Yes $-15 loss
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11? No 38¢ +$33 win
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times April 4 - 11? Yes $-4 loss
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 21-28? Yes $-33 loss

Recent Trades (50)

Market Position Avg Price Cur Price PnL Volume Settled
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%? Yes 1.8¢ +$14 $26 17/04/2026
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? Yes 1.7¢ +$24 $116 15/04/2026
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 2.5¢ +$25 $71 13/04/2026
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 1.4¢ +$19 $51 13/04/2026
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 1.4¢ +$10 $24 13/04/2026
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 2.5¢ $-2 $24 13/04/2026
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 2.7¢ $-2 $33 13/04/2026
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 59.2¢ 85¢ +$148 $7,911 12/04/2026
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 22.4¢ 15¢ +$100 $2,495 12/04/2026
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats? No 67.6¢ 100¢ +$97 $413 12/04/2026
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%? Yes 31.9¢ 93¢ +$95 $277 12/04/2026
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%? No 88.1¢ 98¢ +$36 $294 12/04/2026
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 89.8¢ 100¢ +$29 $269 12/04/2026
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 25.7¢ 13¢ +$28 $1,195 12/04/2026
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 72.9¢ 100¢ +$25 $1,161 12/04/2026
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%? No 81.5¢ 86¢ +$18 $1,276 12/04/2026
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? No 1.0¢ +$16 $45 12/04/2026
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? Yes 4.7¢ $-2 $100 12/04/2026
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%? Yes 11.4¢ $-4 $54 12/04/2026
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%? No 18.8¢ 15¢ $-7 $274 12/04/2026
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%? Yes 5.2¢ $-10 $29 12/04/2026
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 27.9¢ 14¢ $-17 $1,135 12/04/2026
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 90.1¢ 86¢ $-18 $1,481 12/04/2026
Will the Brooklyn Nets finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference? Yes 4.5¢ $-25 $25 12/04/2026
Will the New Orleans Pelicans finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference? Yes 3.7¢ $-27 $31 12/04/2026
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%? Yes 73.3¢ 85¢ $-50 $1,577 12/04/2026
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff? No 26.0¢ 13¢ $-56 $1,285 12/04/2026
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff? Yes 57.7¢ 87¢ $-86 $3,242 12/04/2026
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? Yes 0.4¢ +$166 $291 12/04/2026
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? Yes 0.5¢ +$31 $37 12/04/2026
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats? Yes 1.3¢ $-21 $61 12/04/2026
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 1.0¢ $-10 $52 12/04/2026
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2.4¢ +$33 $416 12/04/2026
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in March? Yes 1.4¢ $-22 $37 10/04/2026
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in March? Yes 1.1¢ $-8 $25 10/04/2026
Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026? Yes 2.5¢ $-25 $50 04/04/2026
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? Yes 3.2¢ +$5 $130 01/04/2026
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March? Yes 1.3¢ $-4 $68 01/04/2026
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? Yes 2.5¢ $-5 $51 01/04/2026
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? No 18.0¢ $-7 $61 01/04/2026
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March? Yes 0.9¢ $-10 $30 01/04/2026
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? Yes 1.0¢ $-14 $83 01/04/2026
Will Tesla dip to $263 in March? Yes 3.1¢ $-24 $56 01/04/2026
Will Amazon reach $260 in March? Yes 3.4¢ $-31 $74 01/04/2026
Will Backpack launch a token on March 15? Yes 1.6¢ $-33 $33 01/04/2026
Will Netflix reach $228 in March? Yes 2.6¢ $-136 $144 01/04/2026
No token launch by March 31 Yes 0.8¢ $-30 $43 01/04/2026
Will Netflix reach $455 in March? Yes 2.0¢ $-39 $49 01/04/2026
Will Amazon reach $296 in March? Yes 2.2¢ $-38 $51 01/04/2026
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit 4750 (LOW) in March? Yes 5.1¢ $-83 $96 01/04/2026