birdbybird

Other 87% +$561 $39,960 vol · 141 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	95¢	100¢	+$53	win
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$4	win
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	90¢	92¢	$-1	loss
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	90¢	74¢	$-110	loss
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	85¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Gold (GC) settle over $8,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	96¢	95¢	$-2	loss
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
LoL: HMBLE vs TITANS (BO1) - LIT Regular Season	HMBLE	93¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-04-11?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win

Sports 95% +$532 $38,435 vol · 119 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	98¢	100¢	+$8	win
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Chicago Cubs	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)	Minnesota Twins	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	98¢	100¢	+$18	win
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Los Angeles Dodgers	98¢	100¢	+$16	win
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox	Milwaukee Brewers	99¢	100¢	+$11	win
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians	Kansas City Royals	94¢	100¢	+$3	win
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)	Mavericks	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals	St. Louis Cardinals	96¢	0¢	$-47	loss

Crypto 82% +$253 $38,665 vol · 111 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	94¢	100¢	$-20	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	89¢	100¢	+$12	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	90¢	100¢	+$11	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	93¢	100¢	+$8	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 2?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	17¢	0¢	$-100	loss

Politics 67% +$99 $3,644 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	98¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Fox interview on Wednesday?	No	93¢	0¢	$-109	loss
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Lloyd Harris	Lloyd Harris	97¢	100¢	+$7	win
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Alex Molcan	Alex Molcan	95¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?	No	90¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$48	win
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?	No	80¢	100¢	+$94	win
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?	No	74¢	100¢	+$35	win
Was Trump hacked?	No	97¢	100¢	+$13	win

Weather 90% +$79 $6,632 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 18?	No	96¢	97¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 18?	No	98¢	99¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?	Yes	87¢	95¢	+$42	win
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 18?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 18?	No	92¢	89¢	$-3	loss
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 18?	No	99¢	98¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 17?	No	99¢	100¢	$-27	loss
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 17?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 17?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 17?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Elections 83% +$70 $3,968 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	86¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Yoweri Kaguta Museveni win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?	Yes	89¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$136	win
Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	No	94¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$70	win
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$5	win

Esports 100% +$59 $710 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season	HMBLE	87¢	100¢	+$45	win
LoL: UB Alma Mater vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular Season	Barça eSports	97¢	100¢	+$14	win

Tech 100% +$42 $900 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google reach $405 in February?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?	No	95¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$11	win

Culture 100% +$8 $100 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$8	win

Economy 100% +$0 $100 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Geopolitics 79% $-78 $8,547 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	95¢	97¢	+$91	win
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	Yes	86¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026?	No	89¢	100¢	+$12	win
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?	No	91¢	100¢	$-114	loss
Panthers vs. Senators	Senators	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Russia vs. Mali end in a draw?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$8	win
Senators vs. Panthers	Panthers	97¢	100¢	+$4	win
Senators vs. Red Wings	Senators	87¢	100¢	+$15	win
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	95¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?	No	90¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Finance 75% $-120 $725 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Circle IPO in 2025?	Yes	93¢	100¢	$-134	loss
Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$5	win
FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$6	win