Win rate
77.0%
938 W / 281 L
Total PnL
$981
realized $-1,205 · unrealized $2,185
Portfolio
$2,185
volume $183,291
Predictions
1,994
31.3/day · avg $92
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Mentions 88% +$63
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in December 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 80% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | 55¢ | 52¢ | $-2 | loss |
| First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Czechia | Japan | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea | Japan | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | T1 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | KT Rolster | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$5 | win |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by February 28? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Weather 76% $-1,532
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on April 19? | Yes | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C or higher on April 19? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or higher on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or below on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 96¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 56-57°F on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on April 17? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $119 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 17? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on April 17? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $44 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 40-41°F on April 17? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $90 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on April 17? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 17? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C or below on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on April 17? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on April 17? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 17? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 38-39°F on April 17? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 17? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $446 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on April 17? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 17? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16? | Yes | 94.1¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $140 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on April 16? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $148 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 16? | Yes | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 16? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $41 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on April 16? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $110 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C or below on April 16? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 16? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on April 16? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 16? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $53 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C or below on April 16? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 16? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on April 16? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or higher on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 16? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 16? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 16? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 16? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C or below on April 16? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |