0x79f4...df03

Crypto 58% +$175 $2,903 vol · 57 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	95¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	51¢	100¢	+$69	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	50¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	26¢	100¢	+$211	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	48¢	100¢	+$134	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	42¢	100¢	+$85	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	46¢	100¢	+$79	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	44¢	100¢	+$78	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	51¢	100¢	+$73	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	48¢	100¢	+$72	win

Geopolitics 52% +$25 $1,867 vol · 26 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	63¢	67¢	+$2	win
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	84¢	86¢	+$2	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	62¢	67¢	+$2	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	67¢	66¢	+$1	win
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	16¢	15¢	+$0	—
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	32¢	24¢	$-1	loss
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	55¢	54¢	$-2	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	90¢	92¢	+$1	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	90¢	84¢	$-1	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	39¢	68¢	$-1	loss

Weather 36% $-2 $786 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 20?	No	96¢	96¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 20?	No	97¢	96¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 20?	No	97¢	97¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 20?	No	95¢	95¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on April 20?	No	93¢	93¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C or higher on April 20?	No	93¢	94¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 20?	No	93¢	96¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 20?	No	95¢	90¢	$-2	loss
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 20?	No	97¢	97¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 20?	No	92¢	93¢	+$0	win

Economy 0% $-5 $71 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession by end of 2026?	No	71¢	74¢	+$0	—
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-5	loss

Tech 0% $-6 $25 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	41¢	34¢	$-6	loss

Other 0% $-8 $80 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	60¢	52¢	$-5	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	26¢	22¢	$-3	loss

Politics 33% $-16 $369 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	53¢	64¢	$-2	loss
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	Yes	7¢	1¢	$-17	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	50¢	72¢	$-1	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	20¢	31¢	+$16	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	71¢	92¢	$-2	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	65¢	60¢	$-11	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?	No	81¢	79¢	$-1	loss

Sports 0% $-82 $113 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Jets vs. Golden Knights	Jets	39¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?	No	3¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-37	loss