Win rate
85.1%
143 W / 25 L
Total PnL
$142
realized $-3,018 · unrealized $3,160
Portfolio
$3,160
volume $82,799
Predictions
211
2.0/day · avg $392
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 28/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 84% +$150
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Fabric FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the US strike Syria next? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Politics 100% +$118
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Pope Leo XIV in January? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Trump meet with King Mohammed VI of Morocco in January 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Crypto 87% +$67
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1? | Up | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | Down | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 1? | Down | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 30? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? | Down | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 23? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 22? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down on January 22? | Up | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Finance 100% +$56
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4? | Up | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | Down | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29? | Up | 87¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
Tech 100% +$48
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Culture 100% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10) | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Economy 100% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Weather 100% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 22? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Elections 50% $-77
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | Yes | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-46 | loss |
Geopolitics 90% $-205
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 7, 2026? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-31 | loss |
Sports 64% $-220
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days? | No | 95¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Super Bowl LX have less than 116M viewers? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati? | Yes | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $300 | 15/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $300 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 93.1¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $500 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $500 | 13/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $500 | 07/04/2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | No | 91.3¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $400 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 7, 2026? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $700 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 2nd? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $500 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $400 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $400 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $200 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $300 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $300 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $190 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026? | No | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $300 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2? | No | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $200 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $200 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more? | Yes | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $200 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? | No | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more? | No | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | No | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | $-31 | $300 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $300 | 17/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | Carlos Alcaraz | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $300 | 16/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | No | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $700 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $300 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more? | Yes | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $500 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more? | Yes | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $400 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026? | Yes | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $300 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $200 | 10/03/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4? | Up | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $300 | 04/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 3? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $300 | 03/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | $200 | 03/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $500 | 01/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1? | Up | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $300 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $1,700 | 28/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 95.5¢ | 0¢ | +$37 | $1,300 | 28/02/2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | Yes | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $300 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $399 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $300 | 28/02/2026 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? | Yes | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $200 | 28/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | Down | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $100 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $200 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $200 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026? | No | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $100 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $200 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $300 | 28/02/2026 |
| Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $200 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $300 | 28/02/2026 |