Win rate
69.8%
417 W / 180 L
Total PnL
$-13,805
realized $-35,998 · unrealized $22,193
Portfolio
$22,193
volume $2,165,324
Predictions
589
2.9/day · avg $3,676
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/10/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 20/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 20/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 76% +$8,583
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$149 | win |
| Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | No | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$14 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 78¢ | 76¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Nanjing Monkey King | Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | win |
| Shenzhen Leopards vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | Shenzhen Leopards | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-1,011 | loss |
| Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Fujian Sturgeons | Guangdong Southern Tigers | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-320 | loss |
| Nanjing Monkey King vs. Zhejiang Lions | Zhejiang Lions | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$408 | win |
| Shenzhen Leopards vs. Ningbo Rockets | Shenzhen Leopards | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$366 | win |
| Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shanghai Sharks | Shanghai Sharks | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$320 | win |
Elections 83% +$2,689
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | win |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$2,724 | win |
| Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$156 | win |
| Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election? | Yes | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-732 | loss |
| Will the National Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$298 | win |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | Yes | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-9,042 | loss |
| Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel | Crawford | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$2,187 | win |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$672 | win |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$392 | win |
Esports 100% +$1,826
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Bilibili Gaming | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| Valorant: Team Envy vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs | Cloud9 | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$1,757 | win |
Economy 100% +$659
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$275 | win |
| Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$276 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | win |
Culture 40% +$68
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$265 | win |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-146 | loss |
| Will Adrien Brody win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$201 | win |
| Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars? | Yes | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-250 | loss |
Politics 57% $-140
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 86¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31? | No | 90¢ | 0¢ | $-1,420 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August? | No | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-268 | loss |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Yes | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$223 | win |
| Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$418 | win |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$984 | win |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during NRCC Dinner on April 8? | No | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Trump announce tariffs on Canada on April 2? | Yes | 89¢ | 0¢ | $-198 | loss |
Tech 67% $-377
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$582 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15 | Up | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
Crypto 50% $-798
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | No | 87¢ | 86¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 15? | Yes | 93¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$119 | win |
Finance 80% $-1,315
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21? | Up | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Equifax Inc. (EFX) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$120 | win |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$97 | win |
| Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | win |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | win |
| Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | win |
| Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
| Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 95¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
| Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$182 | win |
Geopolitics 79% $-2,530
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | win |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | win |
| Internet access restored in Iran by Friday? | No | 93¢ | 0¢ | $-295 | loss |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | win |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? | Yes | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$1,346 | win |
| Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$310 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$148 | win |
| US military action against Iran before July? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-996 | loss |
Sports 68% $-22,063
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 81¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 86¢ | 86¢ | +$24 | win |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Celtics | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$290 | win |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Thunder | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$261 | win |
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will Nico Hulkenberg finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | No | 55¢ | 50¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Knicks | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$4,512 | win |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$2,221 | win |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-2,000 | loss |
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$429 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 86.0¢ | 86¢ | +$24 | $4,075 | 20/04/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Celtics | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$290 | $2,350 | 19/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Thunder | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$261 | $2,350 | 19/04/2026 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 91.6¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $500 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | No | 59.2¢ | 50¢ | $-17 | $100 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Alexander Albon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | No | 54.5¢ | 50¢ | $-23 | $200 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Liam Lawson finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | No | 54.6¢ | 50¢ | $-23 | $200 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Nico Hulkenberg finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | No | 54.6¢ | 50¢ | $-23 | $200 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026? | No | 88.9¢ | 86¢ | $-8 | $248 | 19/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Knicks | 69.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4,512 | $10,171 | 18/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 71.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2,221 | $5,540 | 18/04/2026 |
| Shanghai Sharks vs. Fujian Sturgeons | Shanghai Sharks | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $1,000 | 17/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,000 | $2,000 | 16/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$429 | $1,000 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 217.5 | Over | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$272 | $2,200 | 15/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Hornets | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,318 | $2,800 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Nuggets | 87.7¢ | 100¢ | +$398 | $2,841 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | Nuggets | 90.4¢ | 100¢ | +$171 | $1,606 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | Suns | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $1,000 | 13/04/2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13? | Up | 89.8¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $500 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 99¢ | +$390 | $1,000 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Hornets | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$149 | $1,000 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $1,000 | 12/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $383 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jirí Procházka | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 12/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Sharks | Sharks | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-320 | $320 | 12/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Magic | 85.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,000 | $2,000 | 12/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$563 | $2,759 | 11/04/2026 |
| Spread: Warriors (-11.5) | Kings | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$198 | $2,001 | 11/04/2026 |
| Spread: Warriors (-10.5) | Kings | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | $1,113 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11? | Yes | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | $1,000 | 11/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Rockets | 82.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | $1,000 | 11/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Hawks | 75.6¢ | 100¢ | +$485 | $1,500 | 10/04/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Knicks | Knicks | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$204 | $500 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) | Lakers | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$176 | $500 | 10/04/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Rockets | Rockets | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | $746 | 10/04/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5 | Under | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | $500 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-21.5) | Grizzlies | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$301 | $400 | 09/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$267 | $1,067 | 09/04/2026 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-23.5) | Grizzlies | 80.9¢ | 100¢ | +$236 | $1,000 | 09/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Raptors | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$151 | $2,000 | 09/04/2026 |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) | Raptors | 93.3¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | $1,500 | 09/04/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Wizards | Bulls | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $1,000 | 09/04/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Clippers | Clippers | 92.3¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | $1,300 | 08/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Thunder | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $1,000 | 08/04/2026 |
| Spread: Rockets (-1.5) | Suns | 87.9¢ | 0¢ | $-406 | $406 | 08/04/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Suns | Suns | 81.0¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 08/04/2026 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) | Real Madrid CF | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$282 | $1,000 | 07/04/2026 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | Real Madrid CF | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$124 | $1,000 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$333 | $500 | 05/04/2026 |