Win rate
58.7%
145 W / 102 L
Total PnL
$1,038
realized $-3,762 · unrealized $4,800
Portfolio
$4,800
volume $399,400
Predictions
271
4.1/day · avg $1,474
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 87% +$525
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | No | 92¢ | 85¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | win |
| Will XRP reach $2.60 in November? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Solana reach $240 in October? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | win |
Elections 80% +$503
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 19¢ | 17¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 71¢ | 81¢ | $-92 | loss |
| Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | No | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$570 | win |
Other 86% +$445
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Tim Walz resign by January 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April? | No | 94¢ | 91¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in March? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerland | Finland | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| Men's Round of 16 - Germany vs. France | Germany | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Politics 78% +$45
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-153 | loss |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$71 | win |
| Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" in April? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | Yes | 74¢ | 88¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
Economy 80% +$33
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Finance 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
Geopolitics 56% $-309
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 51¢ | 30¢ | $-347 | loss |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 75¢ | 94¢ | +$79 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$150 | win |
| Senators vs. Hurricanes | Hurricanes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $-0 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 91¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Panthers vs. Senators | Panthers | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Hurricanes vs. Senators | Hurricanes | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Sabres vs. Senators | Sabres | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Senators vs. Panthers | Senators | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
Sports 48% $-362
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 14¢ | +$39 | win |
| Kings vs. Canucks | Kings | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Penguins | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Rangers vs. Lightning | Lightning | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Capitals vs. Blue Jackets | Capitals | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Capitals vs. Penguins | Capitals | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Panthers vs. Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Blue Jackets vs. Sabres | Blue Jackets | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Predators vs. Ducks | Predators | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | win |
| Oilers vs. Utah | Oilers | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 91.0¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $546 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Canucks | Kings | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 15/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Penguins | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Lightning | Lightning | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $51 | 15/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Blue Jackets | Capitals | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $200 | 12/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Penguins | Capitals | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $30 | 11/04/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs | 53.9¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 11/04/2026 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Sabres | Blue Jackets | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 09/04/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Senators | Panthers | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 09/04/2026 |
| Predators vs. Ducks | Predators | 45.1¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | $100 | 08/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Utah | Oilers | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | $53 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bruins vs. Hurricanes | Bruins | 37.1¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 07/04/2026 |
| Lightning vs. Sabres | Lightning | 53.1¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | $88 | 06/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Jets | Kraken | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 06/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Rangers | Capitals | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 05/04/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Senators | Hurricanes | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bruins vs. Flyers | Bruins | 46.7¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 05/04/2026 |
| Golden Knights vs. Oilers | Oilers | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 05/04/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Penguins | Panthers | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 05/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Ducks | Blues | 45.5¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $30 | 04/04/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Devils | Canadiens | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $40 | 04/04/2026 |
| Islanders vs. Hurricanes | Islanders | 35.2¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | $130 | 04/04/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Penguins | Panthers | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 04/04/2026 |
| Jets vs. Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 04/04/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Sharks | Sharks | 53.9¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $100 | 03/04/2026 |
| Flyers vs. Islanders | Flyers | 43.3¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $40 | 03/04/2026 |
| Predators vs. Kings | Predators | 48.8¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $30 | 03/04/2026 |
| Utah vs. Kraken | Kraken | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 03/04/2026 |
| Blackhawks vs. Oilers | Blackhawks | 30.8¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 03/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Lightning | Lightning | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $30 | 02/04/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Flyers | Flyers | 49.5¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 02/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Sharks | Ducks | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 02/04/2026 |
| Bruins vs. Panthers | Bruins | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 02/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Kings | Blues | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 02/04/2026 |
| Sabres vs. Senators | Sabres | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 02/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Devils | Capitals | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 02/04/2026 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes | Blue Jackets | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | $120 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in March? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $1,300 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $200 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $400 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in March? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $500 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in March? | No | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | $-26 | $492 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | $3,659 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $894 | 31/03/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $59 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $380 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | Yes | 74.0¢ | 88¢ | $-2 | $75 | 31/03/2026 |
| Blues vs. Sharks | Blues | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 31/03/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Penguins | Red Wings | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |