Win rate
62.5%
5 W / 3 L
Total PnL
$1
realized $-552 · unrealized $553
Portfolio
$553
volume $8,479
Predictions
103
0.2/day · avg $82
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 18/12/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Culture 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 50% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2025? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
Elections 50% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 83¢ | 83¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (10)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025? | No | 93.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 71.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23 | 04/11/2025 |
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? | No | 88.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $23 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23 | 30/09/2025 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2025? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/05/2025 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 96.8¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | $553 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.5¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $632 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5.2¢ | 5¢ | +$0 | $65 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 82.8¢ | 83¢ | $-1 | $503 | 07/11/2028 |