Win rate
30.2%
26 W / 60 L
Total PnL
$-2
realized $-518 · unrealized $517
Portfolio
$517
volume $118,841
Predictions
123
28.2/day · avg $966
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 79% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
Other 60% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$-0 | loss |
| BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton | Ben Shelton | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner | Jannik Sinner | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Esports 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | FURIA | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Economy 50% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
Mentions 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 27% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Boston Red Sox | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolini | Zeynep Sonmez | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Nets vs. Raptors | Raptors | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 4% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $61 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $2,310 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $522 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $153 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | FURIA | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $252 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $74 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $286 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $321 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $268 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $101 | 13/04/2026 |
| Nets vs. Raptors | Raptors | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $124 | 12/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $659 | 18/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $617 | 18/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner | Jannik Sinner | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 19/04/2026 |
| Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 19/04/2026 |
| BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton | Ben Shelton | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 20/04/2026 |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolini | Zeynep Sonmez | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 21/04/2026 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Boston Red Sox | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $51 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,774 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $2,270 | 29/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $905 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $114 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $2,550 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | No | 98.4¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $583 | 30/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $885 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $2,163 | 30/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $61 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? | No | 97.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $383 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | No | 98.5¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $54 | 30/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 30/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $350 | 30/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $98 | 30/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | +$-0 | $1,613 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $312 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $221 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $3,163 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $2,978 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $2,488 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $61 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 01/05/2026 |