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0x793D214fD47833E96d6ABdF866Ae62512FD18720-1772276179582
0x793d214fd47833e96d6abdf866ae62512fd18720 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
55.9%
33 W / 26 L
Total PnL
$-5,627
realized $-6,648 · unrealized $1,021
Portfolio
$1,021
volume $199,785
Predictions
72
2.5/day · avg $2,775
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 28/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 25% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 44¢ | 48¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-357 | loss |
Politics 40% $-26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 50¢ | 60¢ | +$76 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 26¢ | 8¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | Yes | 76¢ | 78¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 21¢ | 14¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
Other 67% $-256
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | Yes | 49¢ | 33¢ | +$8 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 28¢ | 30¢ | +$133 | win |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? | Yes | 81¢ | 0¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? | No | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 34¢ | 26¢ | $-74 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-317 | loss |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $-76 | loss |
Geopolitics 69% $-567
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | win |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$1,800 | win |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$22 | win |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | No | 57¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | No | 34¢ | 18¢ | $-280 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | No | 35¢ | 20¢ | +$23 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | win |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-4,255
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | Down | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | Down | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | Down | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-600 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | Up | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-956 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | Up | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-1,100 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | Up | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-1,200 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | Down | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | Down | 54.2¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $300 | 16/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | Down | 54.5¢ | 0¢ | $-600 | $600 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | Up | 65.7¢ | 0¢ | $-956 | $1,000 | 16/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | Up | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,100 | $1,100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | Up | 57.7¢ | 0¢ | $-1,200 | $1,200 | 16/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 7.7¢ | 0¢ | +$341 | $884 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 86.8¢ | 100¢ | +$118 | $1,462 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $141 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 42.3¢ | 14¢ | +$1 | $495 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs? | No | 38.0¢ | 100¢ | +$371 | $228 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs? | No | 59.5¢ | 0¢ | $-357 | $357 | 12/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | No | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$215 | $965 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 0¢ | $-533 | $882 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 93.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1,535 | $8,286 | 10/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 42.0¢ | 87¢ | +$77 | $400 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 58.4¢ | 13¢ | +$17 | $3,173 | 07/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $2,036 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | No | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $137 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $114 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $32 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | Yes | 76.0¢ | 78¢ | +$5 | $380 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 21.0¢ | 14¢ | $-18 | $1,164 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $200 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 79.6¢ | 0¢ | $-317 | $454 | 31/03/2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 2¢ | $-76 | $146 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? | No | 81.0¢ | 90¢ | +$334 | $1,761 | 20/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? | No | 65.6¢ | 90¢ | +$270 | $899 | 20/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 10¢ | $-128 | $247 | 20/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? | No | 60.4¢ | 32¢ | +$63 | $554 | 21/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 8¢ | $-19 | $82 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 18¢ | $-170 | $2,051 | 22/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 18¢ | $-133 | $1,397 | 22/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 30¢ | +$133 | $1,081 | 30/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | $2,000 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 50.0¢ | 60¢ | +$76 | $420 | 30/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $844 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 72.4¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $250 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? | Yes | 81.2¢ | 0¢ | +$23 | $456 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | No | 35.5¢ | 20¢ | +$23 | $241 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 80¢ | +$6 | $719 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? | No | 88.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $64 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 75.0¢ | 84¢ | +$1 | $55 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? | No | 30.7¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $106 | 30/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026? | Yes | 4.7¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $47 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 33.8¢ | 26¢ | $-74 | $213 | 30/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026? | Yes | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | $99 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | $-137 | $1,481 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? | No | 67.7¢ | 0¢ | $-1,104 | $1,344 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 43.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1,800 | $1,977 | 30/06/2026 |