Win rate
21.2%
18 W / 67 L
Total PnL
$1,024
realized $-135 · unrealized $1,159
Portfolio
$1,159
volume $192,329
Predictions
6,780
89.2/day · avg $28
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 50% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
Weather 20% $-1,802
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or higher on April 19? | No | 50¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19? | No | 50¢ | 58¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C or higher on April 18? | No | 50¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on April 18? | No | 50¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on April 18? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or higher on April 18? | No | 50¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on April 18? | No | 50¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or higher on April 18? | No | 50¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on April 18? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 18? | No | 50¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C or higher on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 96°F or higher on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or higher on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 70°F or higher on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 60°F or higher on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $28 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or higher on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $56 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $28 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 80°F or higher on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 94°F or higher on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 94°F or higher on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $47 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $57 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $59 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on April 15? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C or higher on April 15? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 15? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $48 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on April 15? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $53 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or higher on April 15? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $77 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on April 15? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $44 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on April 15? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on April 15? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 92°F or higher on April 15? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on April 15? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on April 15? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $54 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 98°F or higher on April 15? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $88 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $78 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $78 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on April 15? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 98°F or higher on April 15? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | $90 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or higher on April 15? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | $77 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on April 15? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on April 14? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or higher on April 14? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C or higher on April 14? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C or higher on April 14? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or higher on April 14? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $49 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on April 14? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $22 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 14? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 94°F or higher on April 14? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on April 14? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on April 14? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C or higher on April 14? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23 | 14/04/2026 |