Win rate
57.7%
15 W / 11 L
Total PnL
$3,710
realized $-1,840 · unrealized $5,551
Portfolio
$5,551
volume $137,521
Predictions
32
0.6/day · avg $4,298
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 60% +$5,866
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? | No | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | Yes | 62¢ | 21¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 39¢ | 41¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March? | Yes | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Yes | 71¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$3,410 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
Sports 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | +$2 | win |
Crypto 0% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-65
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 42¢ | 100¢ | $-65 | loss |
Economy 67% $-2,071
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | +$137 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-2,223 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
Recent Trades (26)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March? | Yes | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $650 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March? | Yes | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Yes | 71.5¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March? | Yes | 43.6¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $198 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,223 | $1,874 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February? | No | 56.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3,410 | $4,020 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February? | Yes | 24.9¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | $50 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February? | Yes | 24.3¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $215 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $48 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of February? | No | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $-354 | $354 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2? | Yes | 38.2¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $21 | 02/02/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $200 | 31/01/2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | No | 4.8¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $27 | 31/01/2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $78 | 28/01/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | +$137 | $480 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 41¢ | $-23 | $29 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? | No | 59.9¢ | 94¢ | +$1,794 | $3,199 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June? | No | 71.7¢ | 84¢ | +$66 | $370 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | No | 72.0¢ | 74¢ | +$933 | $7,143 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | Yes | 62.5¢ | 21¢ | +$26 | $183 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? | No | 81.8¢ | 95¢ | +$16 | $140 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | Yes | 54.9¢ | 34¢ | +$0 | $47 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | Yes | 41.0¢ | 6¢ | $-3 | $24 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | Yes | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $25 | 30/06/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 41.6¢ | 100¢ | $-65 | $354 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15.9¢ | 16¢ | +$2 | $119 | 20/07/2026 |