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0x7865dDdFd57AeD0B5796846711470bb7D03A70D6-1772042825020
0x7865dddfd57aed0b5796846711470bb7d03a70d6 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
69.0%
20 W / 9 L
Total PnL
$7
realized $-5,306 · unrealized $5,313
Portfolio
$5,313
volume $6,619
Predictions
108
3.3/day · avg $61
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 92% +$29
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 6, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 54¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
Other 25% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 89¢ | 84¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Weather 58% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 17? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 15? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C or higher on April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (29)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,438 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 99¢ | $-6 | $1,057 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $932 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | $459 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $279 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $240 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 17? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $193 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 17? | Yes | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 15? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $26 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C or higher on April 15? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $301 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 91.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $64 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 03/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 53.9¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $50 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 93.6¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $21 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026? | Yes | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $220 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $136 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $96 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 7, 2026? | Yes | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $89 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 8, 2026? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $58 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $89 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 91.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $31 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $39 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 6, 2026? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 88.6¢ | 84¢ | $-2 | $35 | 30/04/2026 |
| Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31? | Yes | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $50 | 31/05/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 31/12/2026 |