Win rate
75.1%
139 W / 46 L
Total PnL
$2,485
realized $1,815 · unrealized $670
Portfolio
$670
volume $350,742
Predictions
218
2.8/day · avg $1,609
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Mentions 75% +$2,870
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$126 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Weather 82% +$191
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19? | No | 36¢ | 23¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | win |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22? | Yes | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$125 | win |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$96
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Tech 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of February? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Culture 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 65% $-164
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | 53¢ | 52¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Crypto 0% $-459
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 3? | No | 53¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 3? | Yes | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-439 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | +$11 | $765 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12? | Yes | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $294 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $90 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6? | Yes | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $104 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $158 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $63 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $28 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4? | Yes | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $82 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $129 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $58 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2? | Yes | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $147 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | Yes | 68.5¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $228 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $356 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $710 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 72.8¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | $84 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $187 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 75.4¢ | 100¢ | +$126 | $439 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | Yes | 47.7¢ | 0¢ | +$31 | $235 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $200 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $652 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 67.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $70 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $3,241 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $228 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $290 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $2,964 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $2,789 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more? | No | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $528 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,611 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $497 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $81 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $2,104 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $504 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | $-90 | $782 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29? | Yes | 80.5¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $340 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $676 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $747 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $2,059 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $1,510 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $100 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $505 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $589 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $505 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? | Yes | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $2,570 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? | No | 35.5¢ | 0¢ | +$29 | $151 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 70.1¢ | 100¢ | +$178 | $814 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $990 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $708 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 93.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $200 | 24/03/2026 |