dudukos

Mentions 28% +$70,404 $721,827 vol · 458 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?	No	20¢	0¢	$-348	loss
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	Yes	3¢	2¢	$-30	loss
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	13¢	8¢	$-46	loss
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-861	loss
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-610	loss
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-112	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-3,970	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	No	32¢	100¢	+$102	win
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-179	loss
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?	No	19¢	0¢	$-40	loss

Geopolitics 49% +$24,297 $143,377 vol · 174 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	33¢	22¢	$-416	loss
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Ceasefire	41¢	100¢	+$556	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	30¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	35¢	36¢	$-50	loss
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-110	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	49¢	72¢	$-144	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	58¢	0¢	$-345	loss
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	11¢	0¢	$-1,555	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	29¢	69¢	+$2,044	win

Other 63% +$4,709 $27,609 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	50¢	38¢	$-294	loss
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	No	48¢	46¢	$-27	loss
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?	Yes	36¢	46¢	+$12	win
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	27¢	18¢	$-52	loss
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	42¢	64¢	+$782	win
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	59¢	86¢	+$581	win
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	32¢	38¢	+$18	win
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	21¢	3¢	$-19	loss
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	50¢	94¢	+$432	win
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	4¢	0¢	$-244	loss

Weather 36% +$4,043 $6,142 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	No	23¢	0¢	$-265	loss
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-310	loss
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-438	loss
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-124	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 13?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-73	loss
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?	Yes	43¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?	Yes	72¢	0¢	$-72	loss
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?	No	89¢	100¢	$-230	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 2°C or below on December 31?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 30?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-95	loss

Politics 14% +$655 $11,492 vol · 36 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	31¢	0¢	$-90	loss
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?	No	50¢	44¢	$-6	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	24¢	18¢	$-43	loss
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-110	loss
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-90	loss
Will White House post 140-159 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-119	loss
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?	No	8¢	0¢	$-304	loss
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	No	60¢	0¢	$-139	loss

Economy 57% +$11 $547 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	50¢	100¢	+$50	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	50¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-50	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$10	win

Culture 100% +$4 $327 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Tech 67% $-12 $1,175 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?	Yes	41¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	73¢	70¢	$-31	loss
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$16	win

Sports 0% $-200 $200 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-200	loss

Finance 29% $-976 $2,545 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	48¢	48¢	+$2	win
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	No	6¢	4¢	$-186	loss
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	40¢	24¢	$-79	loss
Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	43¢	0¢	$-502	loss
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$50	win