Win rate
27.1%
251 W / 677 L
Total PnL
$-185
realized $-998 · unrealized $814
Portfolio
$814
volume $209,239
Predictions
2,480
112.0/day · avg $84
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 41% +$47
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 70¢ | 76¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 8¢ | 10¢ | +$43 | win |
| Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? | Yes | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 93¢ | 96¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 76¢ | 77¢ | +$66 | win |
| Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff? | Yes | 80¢ | 76¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%? | Yes | 92¢ | 88¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 72¢ | 77¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | No | 84¢ | 96¢ | +$10 | win |
Tech 40% +$13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 13? | Up | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 13? | Up | 58¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | +$23 | win |
Culture 33% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m? | Yes | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | No | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
Crypto 53% $-37
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | Down | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | Up | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | Up | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Down | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Up | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Down | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Down | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | Down | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | Down | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
Finance 14% $-90
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16? | Up | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 13? | Up | 66¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10? | Down | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 9? | Down | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7? | Up | 23¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | Down | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7? | Down | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
Politics 12% $-98
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? | No | 63¢ | 100¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | loss |
Esports 31% $-188
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season | INTZ e-Sports | 64¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season | Estral Esports | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular Season | Movistar KOI Fénix | 31¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 1 Winner | Barça eSports | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner | Top Esports | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-85 | loss |
| LoL: Barcząca Esports vs DOCISK - Game 2 Winner | Barcząca Esports | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | T1 Academy | 81¢ | 100¢ | $-64 | loss |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | Nongshim Esports Academy | 18¢ | 0¢ | +$65 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group B | Passion UA | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Mentions 24% $-488
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 70¢ | 78¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 29¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | win |
Sports 32% $-556
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | New York Mets | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | loss |
| San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | San Diego Padres | 81¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Atlanta Braves | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 36% $-702
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | loss |
| OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 26¢ | 20¢ | +$10 | win |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | No | 56¢ | 80¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Epstein client list released by June 30? | No | 73¢ | 88¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? | No | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$33 | win |
Geopolitics 25% $-787
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 68¢ | 70¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-39 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 65¢ | 66¢ | $-7 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 58¢ | 50¢ | $-26 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 35¢ | 50¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | Yes | 28¢ | 8¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? | No | 34¢ | 64¢ | +$9 | win |
Weather 24% $-5,574
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 18? | No | 76¢ | 78¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 17? | No | 94¢ | 99¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17? | No | 42¢ | 42¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 17? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on April 17? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on April 17? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on April 17? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | Yes | 58¢ | 66¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on April 17? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 17? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17? | No | 42.2¢ | 42¢ | +$4 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 78¢ | +$2 | $44 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 17? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $110 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 53.9¢ | 22¢ | $-4 | $34 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on April 17? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on April 17? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 17? | No | 71.2¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 72.4¢ | 80¢ | $-7 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 17? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | Yes | 57.6¢ | 66¢ | $-7 | $48 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on April 17? | Yes | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 17? | No | 87.9¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 17? | No | 81.8¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 17? | Yes | 84.4¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | $31 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 17? | No | 78.3¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 17? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 17? | No | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $41 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 17? | Yes | 73.9¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $86 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 17? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on April 17? | No | 93.3¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 17? | No | 93.8¢ | 99¢ | $-14 | $31 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on April 17? | Yes | 81.7¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 17? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 17? | No | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 17? | Yes | 80.9¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | $47 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on April 17? | Yes | 60.9¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | $92 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | No | 66.9¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | $204 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on April 17? | No | 92.6¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | $59 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 17? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | $-26 | $93 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 17? | No | 83.7¢ | 100¢ | $-28 | $72 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 17? | No | 80.6¢ | 100¢ | $-29 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 17? | No | 85.5¢ | 100¢ | $-37 | $89 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 17? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | $-42 | $96 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | $-49 | $128 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 17? | Yes | 37.4¢ | 30¢ | +$24 | $103 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 17? | No | 62.2¢ | 70¢ | $-19 | $168 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17? | Yes | 43.5¢ | 50¢ | +$6 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17? | No | 55.5¢ | 50¢ | $-5 | $44 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 17? | No | 74.6¢ | 63¢ | $-17 | $57 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 17? | Yes | 84.1¢ | 93¢ | +$1 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 17? | No | 70.7¢ | 74¢ | $-2 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on April 17? | Yes | 78.2¢ | 81¢ | $-4 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 17? | Yes | 82.2¢ | 88¢ | $-1 | $53 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 17? | No | 87.5¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $51 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 17? | Yes | 25.4¢ | 0¢ | +$21 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 77.3¢ | 80¢ | $-7 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 17? | No | 74.4¢ | 72¢ | $-19 | $52 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 16? | No | 42.4¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $27 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 16? | Yes | 51.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $37 | 16/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants | Lucknow Super Giants | 66.3¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $31 | 16/04/2026 |