Win rate
59.0%
252 W / 175 L
Total PnL
$-258
realized $-784 · unrealized $526
Portfolio
$526
volume $149,893
Predictions
553
8.6/day · avg $271
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Esports 71% +$1,013
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Team Falcons | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$237 | win |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 90¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner | Aurora Gaming | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | win |
| Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | LOUD | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5 | Over | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | Vitality | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | Vitality | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$162 | win |
Weather 89% +$76
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 17? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 17? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 17? | No | 92¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 16? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 16? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 16? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 16? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Other 76% +$38
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by March 31? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton | Ben Shelton | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Xinyu Wang vs Sorana Cirstea | Sorana Cirstea | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| BMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Joao Fonseca | Joao Fonseca | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Beijing Ducks vs. Qingdao Eagles | Beijing Ducks | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-17? | No | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | win |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | Anyones Legend | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Invictus Gaming | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner | Dplus KIA | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Elections 100% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 13¢ | 8¢ | +$1 | win |
Finance 50% +$13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | Yes | 43¢ | 72¢ | +$9 | win |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 40¢ | 52¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30? | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,750 (LOW) in February 2026? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | No | 90¢ | 80¢ | $-1 | loss |
Tech 0% $-32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
Politics 57% $-47
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 69¢ | 99¢ | +$11 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | Yes | 37¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 26? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 21? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 55% $-69
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 1? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 30? | No | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 23-29? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 29? | No | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 28? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 27? | No | 62¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 27? | Yes | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 27? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
Sports 56% $-315
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff | Karolina Muchova | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva | Iga Swiatek | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez | Elena Rybakina | 92¢ | 66¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider | Elena Rybakina | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Laura Siegemund | Iga Swiatek | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Liudmila Samsonova vs Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Shuai Zhang vs Linda Noskova | Linda Noskova | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5 | Under | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Geopolitics 23% $-462
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 81¢ | 76¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 30¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-335 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | No | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 95¢ | 96¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 10¢ | $-6 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 70¢ | 2¢ | $-6 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17? | Yes | 82.3¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5 | Under | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5 | Over | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $46 | 17/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Oilers | Oilers | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Flames: O/U 4.5 | Over | 74.6¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5 | Over | 85.9¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 17? | No | 70.1¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $73 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 17? | No | 91.1¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 17? | No | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 17? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-17? | No | 94.0¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 17? | Yes | 77.6¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $53 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 17? | No | 91.7¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Team Falcons | 75.5¢ | 100¢ | +$237 | $728 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 16? | No | 85.6¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 16? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $38 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 16? | No | 92.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 16? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | Anyones Legend | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 16? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 90.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Trail Blazers | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 87.2¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $140 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Invictus Gaming | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5 | Over | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 217.5 | Over | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner | Dplus KIA | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $70 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on April 15? | Yes | 12.3¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $27 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 15? | Yes | 69.9¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $145 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 15? | No | 64.3¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $43 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 88.9¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | $660 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner | Aurora Gaming | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | $270 | 14/04/2026 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 | Under | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks | Sabres | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on April 14? | No | 72.1¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Kraken | Kings | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on April 14? | Yes | 87.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $22 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 14? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Predators | Sharks | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |