Win rate
59.1%
324 W / 224 L
Total PnL
$-122,290
realized $-151,895 · unrealized $29,605
Portfolio
$29,605
volume $11,806,310
Predictions
531
2.2/day · avg $22,234
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/02/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 60% +$75,109
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Denver Nuggets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$167 | win |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Lakers | 35¢ | 34¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Knicks | 73¢ | 66¢ | $-187 | loss |
| Magic vs. Mavericks | Magic | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$857 | win |
| Raptors vs. Grizzlies | Raptors | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$286 | win |
| Pelicans vs. Kings | Pelicans | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-2,000 | loss |
| Pacers vs. Hornets | Hornets | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$247 | win |
| Timberwolves vs. 76ers | Timberwolves | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
| Raptors vs. Pistons | Pistons | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$1,286 | win |
| Knicks vs. Rockets | Rockets | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$423 | win |
Other 55% +$42,788
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-114 | loss |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-632 | loss |
| Yoon out of custody by March 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$1,330 | win |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$1,138 | win |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$1,028 | win |
| Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5) | Aston Villa FC | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$663 | win |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 94¢ | 0¢ | $-8,393 | loss |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$1,286 | win |
Esports 100% +$8,064
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage | Gen.G | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$8,064 | win |
Finance 100% +$3,424
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3,424 | win |
Weather 100% +$2,261
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$844 | win |
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers | Virginia Cavaliers | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$1,417 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$56
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
Tech 0% $-639
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-639 | loss |
Economy 50% $-7,941
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-10,020 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2,079 | win |
Culture 33% $-33,255
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-1,920 | loss |
| Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$2,510 | win |
| Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-33,846 | loss |
Politics 73% $-101,858
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | $-215 | loss |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$1,328 | win |
| Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May? | Yes | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$121,250 | win |
| Yoon reinstated as President before July? | No | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$22,602 | win |
| Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-334 | loss |
| Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | win |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before May? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$156,096 | win |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | Yes | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-469,564 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28? | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-193 | loss |
Elections 58% $-108,420
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$2,052 | win |
| Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-242 | loss |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-46,408 | loss |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-7,507 | loss |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-13,243 | loss |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$18,152 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$10,978 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%? | No | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-181 | loss |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$7,516 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Knicks | 73.4¢ | 66¢ | $-187 | $2,003 | 18/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Mavericks | Magic | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$857 | $2,000 | 04/04/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Grizzlies | Raptors | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$286 | $2,100 | 04/04/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Kings | Pelicans | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,000 | $2,000 | 04/04/2026 |
| Pacers vs. Hornets | Hornets | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$247 | $2,500 | 03/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. 76ers | Timberwolves | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | $1,000 | 03/04/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Pistons | Pistons | 79.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1,286 | $5,063 | 01/04/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Rockets | Rockets | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$423 | $2,597 | 01/04/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Rockets | Knicks | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-768 | $1,000 | 01/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | Cavaliers | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,100 | $1,100 | 01/04/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Bucks | Bucks | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $1,906 | 31/03/2026 |
| Yoon out of custody by March 31? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | $-45 | $2,796 | 31/03/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,691 | $1,500 | 26/03/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Jazz | Jazz | 62.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,700 | $1,700 | 26/03/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Suns | Nuggets | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$899 | $2,000 | 25/03/2026 |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,000 | $2,000 | 25/03/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Celtics | Thunder | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,200 | $2,200 | 25/03/2026 |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Magic | 24.6¢ | 0¢ | $-3,402 | $3,402 | 25/03/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Mavericks | Warriors | 71.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1,390 | $3,515 | 24/03/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Knicks | Knicks | 72.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1,216 | $3,236 | 24/03/2026 |
| Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$844 | $1,500 | 24/03/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Jazz | Raptors | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$446 | $1,900 | 24/03/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Bulls | Rockets | 77.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,000 | $2,000 | 24/03/2026 |
| Spurs vs. Heat | Spurs | 70.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3,187 | $7,676 | 23/03/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Suns | Suns | 38.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2,447 | $1,500 | 23/03/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Lakers | 48.3¢ | 0¢ | $-1,496 | $1,875 | 23/03/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Celtics | Celtics | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,600 | $1,600 | 23/03/2026 |
| Heat vs. Rockets | Rockets | 39.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2,553 | $1,633 | 22/03/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Mavericks | Clippers | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,878 | $1,600 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,330 | $1,500 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 83.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1,138 | $5,743 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 88.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1,028 | $7,915 | 22/03/2026 |
| Nets vs. Kings | Kings | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$674 | $1,500 | 22/03/2026 |
| Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5) | Aston Villa FC | 91.2¢ | 100¢ | +$663 | $6,884 | 22/03/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$532 | $2,000 | 22/03/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Hawks | Hawks | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$198 | $9,710 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 77.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | $1,000 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 0¢ | $-8,393 | $8,493 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,286 | $500 | 21/03/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$800 | $2,400 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$381 | $2,000 | 21/03/2026 |
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5) | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $119 | 21/03/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Rockets | Hawks | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-405 | $1,000 | 21/03/2026 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) | Nuggets | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-982 | $982 | 21/03/2026 |
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 81.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,004 | $1,004 | 21/03/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,557 | $2,100 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 87.3¢ | 0¢ | $-5,961 | $6,631 | 21/03/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Pistons | Pistons | 74.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4,921 | $14,070 | 20/03/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Heat | Lakers | 23.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3,224 | $976 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,000 | $1,000 | 20/03/2026 |