Win rate
32.5%
887 W / 1844 L
Total PnL
$1,401
realized $-2,953 · unrealized $4,354
Portfolio
$4,354
volume $5,576,060
Predictions
2,937
19.6/day · avg $1,899
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 32% +$20,829
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by March 31? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner | Carlos Alcaraz | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-653 | loss |
| Will Jeju SK FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw? | No | 8¢ | 8¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw? | No | 12¢ | 8¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Machac vs Jannik Sinner | Tomas Machac | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | loss |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud | Casper Ruud | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-248 | loss |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Grigor Dimitrov | Tomas Etcheverry | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$252 | win |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-510 | loss |
| Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Agut (+1.5) | Berrettini | 49¢ | 50¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 37% +$8,382
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 33¢ | 16¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 28¢ | 24¢ | +$24 | win |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-343 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 45¢ | 30¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 29¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 76¢ | 94¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 16¢ | 90¢ | $-58 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 8¢ | 100¢ | $-40 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card) | Renato Moicano | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$356 | win |
Politics 27% +$3,668
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-273 | loss |
| Bucharest Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Alex Molcan | Billy Harris | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-138 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | Yes | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8) | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-444 | loss |
| Central Arkansas Bears vs. Austin Peay Governors | Central Arkansas Bears | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | win |
Esports 45% +$440
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | Natus Vincere | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-320 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B | PARIVISION | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-170 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner | Aurora Gaming | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-128 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs OG (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs | Liquid | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-186 | loss |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner | Team Spirit | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | Natus Vincere | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | MOUZ | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | Aurora | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | loss |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Xtreme Gaming | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-111 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: 33 vs QUAZAR (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group C | 33 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Tech 60% +$176
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$555 | win |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-388 | loss |
| Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Shōnan Bellmāre end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
Elections 25% $-208
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4¢ | 12¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-168 | loss |
Culture 25% $-880
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-498 | loss |
Finance 20% $-948
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026? | No | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-212 | loss |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-768 | loss |
| Transylvania Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Anna Bondar | Bondar | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 58¢ | 2¢ | $-3 | loss |
Crypto 33% $-1,159
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 17¢ | 8¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | Up | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | Down | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Up | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | Up | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-151 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | Up | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | Down | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | Up | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-156 | loss |
| Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | Prairie View A&M Panthers | 14¢ | 100¢ | +$430 | win |
Economy 17% $-1,424
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | loss |
| Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Alcorn State Braves | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | loss |
| Auburn Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs | Auburn Tigers | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-1,184 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | +$45 | win |
| Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State | Mississippi State | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | loss |
Weather 14% $-2,130
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | St. Johns Red Storm | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-350 | loss |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks | Kansas Jayhawks | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-1,490 | loss |
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers | Miami Hurricanes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-360 | loss |
| Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm | St. Johns Red Storm | 83¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm | Northern Iowa Panthers | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-147 | loss |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm | Connecticut Huskies | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-131 | loss |
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers | Miami Hurricanes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes | Louisville Cardinals | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Temple Owls vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Temple Owls | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
Mentions 19% $-6,478
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-129 | loss |
| Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-198 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026? | No | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-151 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-228 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
Sports 34% $-19,331
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $-68 | loss |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 11¢ | $-116 | loss |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | loss |
| Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? | Yes | 20¢ | 3¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 24¢ | 4¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | Houston Astros | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Arizona Diamondbacks | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | Chicago White Sox | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-172 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Arizona Diamondbacks | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 18/04/2026 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | Chicago White Sox | 24.6¢ | 0¢ | $-172 | $172 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Jeju SK FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw? | No | 8.5¢ | 8¢ | $-0 | $68 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw? | No | 12.2¢ | 8¢ | $-18 | $61 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 26¢ | $-2 | $108 | 18/04/2026 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres | Colorado Rockies | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | $90 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Machac vs Jannik Sinner | Tomas Machac | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | $65 | 16/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud | Casper Ruud | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-248 | $248 | 16/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 100¢ | $-35 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 16.2¢ | 90¢ | $-58 | $130 | 15/04/2026 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | Philadelphia Phillies | 36.9¢ | 100¢ | +$356 | $258 | 14/04/2026 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $106 | 14/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Baltimore Orioles | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $232 | 14/04/2026 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants | 10.6¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $74 | 14/04/2026 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 58.5¢ | 0¢ | $-176 | $176 | 14/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 10.1¢ | 0¢ | $-323 | $323 | 14/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Grigor Dimitrov | Tomas Etcheverry | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$252 | $348 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 7.4¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | $221 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $48 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $99 | 13/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Agut (+1.5) | Berrettini | 49.0¢ | 50¢ | +$0 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $66 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $63 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $192 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 5.2¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $181 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $61 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $67 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $213 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $488 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $57 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $52 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $263 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $63 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $-128 | $262 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $-132 | $226 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-143 | $211 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-175 | $334 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $-183 | $213 | 13/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenko | Alexander Shevchenko | 40.9¢ | 0¢ | $-286 | $286 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $-510 | $813 | 13/04/2026 |
| Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees | Miami Marlins | 22.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1,492 | $495 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will FC Anyang win on 2026-04-12? | No | 23.8¢ | 100¢ | +$914 | $286 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | No | 20.7¢ | 100¢ | +$441 | $124 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Carlos Ulberg | 51.3¢ | 100¢ | +$341 | $359 | 12/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Pedro Martinez | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$204 | $196 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Josh Hokit | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$147 | $153 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims) | Charles Radtke | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$126 | $174 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims) | Tatiana Suarez | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | $177 | 12/04/2026 |