Win rate
41.0%
16 W / 23 L
Total PnL
$61
realized $-130,524 · unrealized $130,585
Portfolio
$130,585
volume $687,205
Predictions
43
3.1/day · avg $15,982
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 38% +$1,013
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 22¢ | 24¢ | +$208 | win |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 52¢ | 63¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 15¢ | 26¢ | +$693 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 71¢ | 74¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 73¢ | 82¢ | +$669 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 75¢ | 82¢ | +$235 | win |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$21,909 | win |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$7,421 | win |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | No | 54¢ | 1¢ | $-19,502 | loss |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-5,545 | loss |
Other 100% +$480
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 49¢ | 56¢ | +$480 | win |
Politics 50% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | Yes | 31¢ | 30¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | No | 31¢ | 31¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 57¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 52¢ | 56¢ | +$11 | win |
Recent Trades (39)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 63.6¢ | 100¢ | +$21,909 | $38,837 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7,421 | $16,499 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 73.4¢ | 82¢ | +$669 | $6,174 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 75.0¢ | 82¢ | +$235 | $3,000 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | No | 54.4¢ | 1¢ | $-19,502 | $19,735 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 18.8¢ | 0¢ | $-5,545 | $5,648 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 18.9¢ | 0¢ | $-4,747 | $4,821 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%? | Yes | 9.4¢ | 0¢ | $-1,700 | $1,709 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election? | No | 68.2¢ | 0¢ | $-6,232 | $6,231 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 19.5¢ | 0¢ | $-1,484 | $1,487 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-258 | $261 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 11.8¢ | 0¢ | $-799 | $803 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 31.0¢ | 1¢ | $-1,824 | $1,859 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | No | 70.8¢ | 0¢ | $-3,710 | $3,711 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%? | Yes | 8.5¢ | 0¢ | $-407 | $409 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%? | Yes | 9.9¢ | 0¢ | $-401 | $411 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win at least 130 seats? | No | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,720 | $2,720 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%? | Yes | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $101 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 7.1¢ | 0¢ | $-265 | $267 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | No | 74.2¢ | 96¢ | +$703 | $2,381 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | $164 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%? | Yes | 54.5¢ | 13¢ | $-522 | $692 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | No | 73.8¢ | 6¢ | $-803 | $869 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by <9%? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-365 | $366 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | No | 80.6¢ | 100¢ | +$153 | $638 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 82.0¢ | 81¢ | +$234 | $4,919 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 57¢ | +$36 | $240 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 54.0¢ | 58¢ | +$13 | $156 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 56¢ | +$11 | $125 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | Yes | 31.3¢ | 30¢ | $-49 | $1,139 | 19/05/2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | No | 31.3¢ | 31¢ | $-10 | $1,077 | 19/05/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 59.5¢ | 66¢ | +$7,456 | $73,473 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 81.2¢ | 92¢ | +$12,908 | $104,181 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $72 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 71.4¢ | 74¢ | $-49 | $691 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 14.7¢ | 26¢ | +$693 | $577 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 63¢ | +$6 | $30 | 03/11/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 49.0¢ | 56¢ | +$480 | $1,960 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 24¢ | +$208 | $573 | 30/04/2027 |