0x765f...1508

Culture 46% +$8,223 $45,463 vol · 61 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	81¢	74¢	+$75	win
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	35¢	46¢	+$368	win
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	Yes	35¢	0¢	+$7	win
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-145	loss
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-99	loss
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m?	Yes	38¢	0¢	$-37	loss

Sports 56% +$7,739 $29,995 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	No	48¢	66¢	$-3	loss
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	89¢	86¢	+$1	win
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	39¢	56¢	+$45	win
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-78	loss
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?	No	33¢	0¢	$-155	loss
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Galions	49¢	100¢	+$259	win
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-261	loss
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in February?	Yes	44¢	0¢	$-1,001	loss
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyones Legend	91¢	100¢	+$354	win
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs	Gen.G	88¢	100¢	+$516	win

Other 49% +$5,052 $62,500 vol · 112 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-479	loss
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	28¢	18¢	$-90	loss
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	30¢	35¢	+$9	win
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	33¢	32¢	+$1	win
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Yes	47¢	59¢	+$11	win
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	No	55¢	41¢	$-12	loss
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	82¢	0¢	$-140	loss
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-781	loss
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	12¢	3¢	$-655	loss

Weather 42% +$1,924 $12,827 vol · 118 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?	Yes	78¢	80¢	+$32	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16?	Yes	45¢	100¢	+$306	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 15?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 13?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 9?	No	70¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 9?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 9?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 9?	Yes	55¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 7?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on April 7?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Crypto 67% +$1,100 $40,776 vol · 45 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	49¢	82¢	+$14	win
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?	Yes	67¢	0¢	$-246	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	Yes	70¢	100¢	$-764	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?	No	87¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?	No	90¢	100¢	$-39	loss
Will XRP reach $1.80 in March?	No	91¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Solana reach $110 in March?	No	86¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	No	90¢	0¢	$-873	loss
Will Solana dip to $90 in February?	Yes	54¢	100¢	+$443	win

Elections 100% +$8 $997 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	66¢	66¢	+$8	win

Politics 50% $-294 $2,225 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$89	win
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-780	loss
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 13?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 13?	No	0¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	No	42¢	100¢	+$302	win
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?	No	15¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-84	loss
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	No	45¢	100¢	+$294	win

Mentions 0% $-980 $2,020 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	Yes	68¢	0¢	$-483	loss
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7?	Yes	95¢	100¢	$-20	loss

Geopolitics 42% $-1,312 $11,732 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	18¢	0¢	+$13	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	33¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	78¢	94¢	+$6	win
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	72¢	0¢	$-723	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	47¢	93¢	+$66	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?	No	40¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?	No	7¢	0¢	$-36	loss
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	No	34¢	0¢	$-92	loss
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-160	loss

Economy 29% $-1,452 $7,133 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	86¢	92¢	$-29	loss
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	19¢	20¢	+$1	win
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	69¢	97¢	$-226	loss
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	Yes	28¢	6¢	$-55	loss
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?	No	84¢	88¢	+$257	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	86¢	99¢	+$19	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	16¢	1¢	$-144	loss
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	58¢	8¢	$-11	loss
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-93	loss
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-48	loss

Finance 25% $-2,055 $4,451 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
ECB rate hike in 2026?	Yes	86¢	72¢	+$197	win
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	Yes	85¢	28¢	$-60	loss
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-997	loss
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	No	1¢	0¢	$-1,195	loss

Esports 53% $-2,675 $43,291 vol · 51 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Vitality	60¢	100¢	+$1,347	win
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Rare Atom (BO3) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Playoffs	Rare Atom	19¢	50¢	+$48	win
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs TEAM XDM (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs	TEAM XDM	64¢	0¢	$-729	loss
Counter-Strike: Unsettled Resentment vs TYLOO (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs	Unsettled Resentment	65¢	0¢	$-5,302	loss
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs	G2	87¢	100¢	+$393	win
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs	Heroic	2¢	0¢	$-110	loss
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	75¢	0¢	$-1,610	loss
LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	JD Gaming	77¢	100¢	+$298	win
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Misa Esports	86¢	100¢	+$41	win
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	FaZe	90¢	100¢	+$107	win

Tech 50% $-8,589 $12,030 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$31	win
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?	No	6¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$311	win
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	No	86¢	100¢	+$108	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?	Yes	49¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-1,037	loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-5,115	loss
GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?	No	45¢	0¢	$-3,080	loss