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0x760016ccE4460C710D9b2Ad830bd350723a17347-1767780103683
0x760016cce4460c710d9b2ad830bd350723a17347 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
51.0%
26 W / 25 L
Total PnL
$-3,354
realized $-3,897 · unrealized $543
Portfolio
$543
volume $202,379
Predictions
122
1.2/day · avg $1,659
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 07/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 100% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
Politics 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump attend UFC 327? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
Other 44% $-18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 36¢ | 24¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Artemis II launch by April 30? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more? | Yes | 60¢ | 92¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more? | No | 74¢ | 18¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Megaquake by January 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Crypto 77% $-50
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | Up | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | Up | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | Up | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | Down | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | Up | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | Down | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | Down | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | Down | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | Up | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | Down | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Geopolitics 41% $-3,064
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 45¢ | 30¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? | No | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 34¢ | 5¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 1¢ | $-198 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 61¢ | 52¢ | $-4 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? | No | 65¢ | 64¢ | +$0 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$198 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 61.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $43 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Trump attend UFC 327? | Yes | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $199 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $50 | 04/04/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 76.4¢ | 100¢ | +$198 | $726 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by April 30? | Yes | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $281 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $697 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 27.1¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8? | No | 57.2¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $-1,195 | $608 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more? | Yes | 90.3¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $251 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 92¢ | +$10 | $60 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more? | No | 77.0¢ | 33¢ | $-5 | $100 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more? | No | 74.0¢ | 18¢ | $-42 | $100 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 69.4¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $30 | 28/02/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 11.5¢ | 0¢ | $-1,355 | $1,729 | 28/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | Up | 71.9¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $32 | 15/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | Up | 71.9¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $31 | 15/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | Up | 89.3¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $40 | 15/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | Down | 84.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $25 | 15/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | Up | 91.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $27 | 15/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | Down | 39.8¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 15/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | Down | 65.6¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $25 | 14/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | Down | 69.1¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $25 | 14/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | Up | 77.4¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $30 | 14/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | Down | 88.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $30 | 14/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | Down | 89.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 14/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | Up | 71.6¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 14/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | Up | 22.3¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | $67 | 14/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $504 | 31/01/2026 |
| Megaquake by January 31? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $50 | 31/01/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Yes | 7.2¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $506 | 31/01/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $-385 | $666 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $494 | 18/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $497 | 15/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | No | 78.6¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $234 | 14/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $200 | 14/01/2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $100 | 09/01/2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 4.5¢ | 4¢ | $-9 | $50 | 31/12/2025 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? | No | 84.9¢ | 84¢ | $-4 | $501 | 20/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? | No | 65.0¢ | 64¢ | +$0 | $32 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 82.0¢ | 78¢ | $-3 | $49 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 61.0¢ | 52¢ | $-4 | $49 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $1,433 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? | No | 92.0¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | $44 | 30/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 34.3¢ | 5¢ | $-7 | $82 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 36.4¢ | 24¢ | $-12 | $93 | 30/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 6.7¢ | 1¢ | $-198 | $380 | 30/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.9¢ | 4¢ | $-4 | $50 | 31/05/2026 |