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Geopolitics 50% +$64 $2,221 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	28¢	8¢	$-8	loss
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	70¢	100¢	+$4	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Senators vs. Maple Leafs	Senators	53¢	100¢	+$101	win
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?	No	53¢	100¢	+$31	win
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	13¢	0¢	+$400	win
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	89¢	100¢	$-390	loss

Economy 50% +$2 $3,579 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Crypto 100% +$1 $355 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 11?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—

Culture 0% $-0 $461 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Elections 0% $-11 $9,872 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	99¢	99¢	$-1	loss
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	100¢	99¢	$-2	loss
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Politics 6% $-11 $11,265 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	99¢	99¢	$-1	loss
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	99¢	99¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	83¢	92¢	$-1	loss

Other 19% $-16 $14,634 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	No	99¢	99¢	$-2	loss
Will Zach Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-12?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-95	loss
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?	No	52¢	100¢	+$84	win
Hersonissos: Maximus Jones vs Tom Gentzsch	Tom Gentzsch	51¢	50¢	$-1	loss
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5	Under	55¢	100¢	+$50	win
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?	No	70¢	100¢	+$31	win

Sports 11% $-84 $42,700 vol · 38 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	100¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	100¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Red Wings vs. Stars	Stars	62¢	100¢	+$40	win
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Bulls vs. Clippers	Clippers	84¢	100¢	+$20	win
Flames vs. Rangers	Flames	47¢	0¢	$-78	loss
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5	Under	53¢	0¢	$-76	loss
Wizards vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	79¢	100¢	+$19	win