Win rate
92.2%
1029 W / 87 L
Total PnL
$6,466
realized $-10,293 · unrealized $16,759
Portfolio
$16,759
volume $4,364,294
Predictions
1,160
15.2/day · avg $3,762
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/10/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 84% +$39,655
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$346 | win |
| Will Freiburg reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$140 | win |
| Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-1,660 | loss |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | Up | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-04-12? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$158 | win |
| Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$124 | win |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-11? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | win |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Sports 89% +$5,883
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 92¢ | 91¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will Miami Heat advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5 | Under | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 91¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | loss |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Hornets | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | win |
| Bulls vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Nuggets | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
Economy 100% +$3,877
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$496 | win |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1,249 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$626 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$1,311 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$196 | win |
Politics 100% +$693
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$334 | win |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$177 | win |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | win |
Geopolitics 80% +$568
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10? | Yes | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-05? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$153 | win |
| Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-05? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$367 | win |
Finance 100% +$379
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 13? | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$228 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 12? | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | win |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 12? | Down | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
Tech 100% +$366
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$125 | win |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | win |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$169 | win |
Esports 100% +$12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5 | Under | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Mentions 84% $-1,474
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-109 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? | Yes | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-1,364 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$336 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-570 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$343 | win |
Crypto 96% $-3,121
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 19? | Yes | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 19? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | win |
| Solana Up or Down on April 18? | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 18? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 18? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 17? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on April 15? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on April 15? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 15? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
Elections 57% $-41,896
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | No | 89¢ | 0¢ | $-911 | loss |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
| Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$295 | win |
| Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-141 | loss |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | Yes | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-44,700 | loss |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2,319 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 19? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 98¢ | $-23 | $2,490 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 19? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | $1,268 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Miami Heat advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $200 | 18/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5 | Under | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $96 | 18/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down on April 18? | Down | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $96 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 18? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $84 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 17? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $8,125 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on April 17? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $629 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$340 | $1,660 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$328 | $4,422 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$169 | $5,001 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on April 15? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $1,394 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | $-955 | $9,949 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,660 | $1,660 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on April 15? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $6,210 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 15? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $2,452 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 90.7¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $300 | 15/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Hornets | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | $2,900 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $2,048 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 13? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $3,217 | 13/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | Down | 91.1¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $540 | 13/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $4,808 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8PM ET | Up | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $3,000 | 13/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | Up | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $1,700 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Up | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $1,010 | 13/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Nuggets | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $500 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 13? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $1,689 | 13/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | Up | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $1,100 | 13/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $923 | 13/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $500 | 13/04/2026 |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | Up | 91.4¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 13, 8AM ET | Up | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $500 | 13/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 8AM ET | Down | 98.9¢ | 0¢ | $-967 | $967 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-04-12? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$158 | $3,562 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 94.1¢ | 100¢ | +$124 | $3,287 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 12? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | $3,894 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 12? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $3,297 | 12/04/2026 |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $438 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Hornets | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $2,800 | 12/04/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - April 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Down | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $1,504 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Down | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $1,475 | 12/04/2026 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Down | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $985 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Magic (-12.5) | Celtics | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $1,540 | 12/04/2026 |
| BNB Up or Down - April 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Down | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $980 | 12/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $530 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: 76ers (-11.5) | 76ers | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Pistons (-28.5) | Pacers | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $124 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Magic (-10.5) | Celtics | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $124 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hawks (-5.5) | Heat | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $120 | 12/04/2026 |